This channel has a bunch of recent Peter Zeihan talks uploaded:
I've been watching this one that was definitely recorded pre-Ukraine invasion:
TL;DW:
-The Mexican border is going to become a big problem, due to the cartels - he compares it to Iraq/Afghanistan
-Peter has way too much faith in military/national security complex
-We're looking at 6-12 years of political turmoil involving political realignment
-He thinks China will go for Taiwan in the near future due to all the economic and political factors going to shit for them in the long term
-He gives the Taiwan invasion a 1 in 2 chance
-The most recent census may have overcounted the Chinese female population by up to 25%
-China and Russia's alliance will fall apart once the US stops propping up the global system, neither can sustain military action for any significant duration due to their demographic issues
-He's more worried about the repercussions of Russia and China fighting each other, mentioning that Russia's strategy is likely to involve nukes
I've been watching this one that was definitely recorded pre-Ukraine invasion:
TL;DW:
-The Mexican border is going to become a big problem, due to the cartels - he compares it to Iraq/Afghanistan
-Peter has way too much faith in military/national security complex
-We're looking at 6-12 years of political turmoil involving political realignment
-He thinks China will go for Taiwan in the near future due to all the economic and political factors going to shit for them in the long term
-He gives the Taiwan invasion a 1 in 2 chance
-The most recent census may have overcounted the Chinese female population by up to 25%
-China and Russia's alliance will fall apart once the US stops propping up the global system, neither can sustain military action for any significant duration due to their demographic issues
-He's more worried about the repercussions of Russia and China fighting each other, mentioning that Russia's strategy is likely to involve nukes