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  1. gral

    The Americas 🇧🇷 Federative Republic of Brazil Discussion Megathread

    Not quite - he's not sending money because the budget has been squeezed dry by the extortion rack Congress has turned Brazil into. But have no fear: Congress seems to be moving to approve a spending spree pretty soon. Pay no attention to the fact that most of it will be destined to electoral...
  2. gral

    The Americas 🇧🇷 Federative Republic of Brazil Discussion Megathread

    Rio Grande do Sul is fucked - State Debt was already too high; after being hit by the worst flooding in recorded history(previous record high of the Guaíba River was in 1941, with the level of the river reaching some 4.75 metres - the 2024 flood topped that by some 33 cm), it's quite likely that...
  3. gral

    The Americas 🇧🇷 Federative Republic of Brazil Discussion Megathread

    They look so enamoured with each other...
  4. gral

    The Americas 🇧🇷 Federative Republic of Brazil Discussion Megathread

    I expect that to bite them in the butt in the future, in the whole world. I don't see good times for them in the next 50 years.
  5. gral

    The Americas 🇧🇷 Federative Republic of Brazil Discussion Megathread

    This was Lula trying to play Israeli partisan politics(trying to shake Netanyahu so he'll fall), like Biden is doing. He wouldn't have said anything near that had the Israeli PM been a leftist. For what is worth, I don't even think he has managed to break ties with the Jewish diaspora in...
  6. gral

    The Americas 🇧🇷 Federative Republic of Brazil Discussion Megathread

    Carnival is all too often taken to be a license to be an animal(or even worse), with predictable results. That is so no matter the government(but yes, the attitude of the current government doesn't help). I miss the 90s. Back then, about 10 percent of Rio's population would go to other towns...
  7. gral

    The Americas 🇧🇷 Federative Republic of Brazil Discussion Megathread

    What ever comes after the current iteration of the Republic will have most of its powers vested on the Executive Branch - the current state of things is a cautionary tale against having too much power in the Legislative and Judicial ones. So, yes, it will have shades of Vargas' Estado Novo. This...
  8. gral

    The Americas 🇧🇷 Federative Republic of Brazil Discussion Megathread

    This shit could only happen in Brazil. No one in the Left liked him - Dino, like Haddad, has plenty of enemies; unlike Haddad, his political career was outside PT(he always ran for office as a PCB member), which makes him even more disliked inside PT than his loathsome personality alone would...
  9. gral

    The Americas 🇧🇷 Federative Republic of Brazil Discussion Megathread

    Either Itamar Franco, or Lula, from the top of my head. Itamar Franco had more than 50% approval when he left, IIRC. I don't know how much approval Lula had when he left, but considering he easily elected his successor...
  10. gral

    The Americas 🇧🇷 Federative Republic of Brazil Discussion Megathread

    No, that was a contributing factor. Collor got impeached because: - He wanted to replace everyone who got their fingers in some pie(whether that pie was a hustle by congressmen to get themselves money from the government, or the biggest media conglomerate in Brazil) with his own cronies; that...
  11. gral

    The Americas 🇧🇷 Federative Republic of Brazil Discussion Megathread

    Bit later than that; mid-90s(FHC administration, IIRC). The earlier National Information Service was extinguished in the Collor administration, and that is said to have contributed to his impeachment(as he didn't have an eye on the political machinations to get him out going around).
  12. gral

    The Americas 🇧🇷 Federative Republic of Brazil Discussion Megathread

    The Brazilian Intelligence Agency(Abin) is extremely focused on internal politics, being more of a watchman for the Office of the President, and can't be really said to be an equivalent to CIA. AFAIK, only the Military really does foreign intelligence work, everyone else - with the possible...
  13. gral

    The Americas 🇧🇷 Federative Republic of Brazil Discussion Megathread

    Power. Congress let the STF run amok during the Bolsonaro administration, usurping many of the powers of the office of the president. Now it's time to see which branch of the government will emerge as the supreme one, the Judicial or the Legislative one. The fact that the new head of the STF...
  14. gral

    The Americas 🇧🇷 Federative Republic of Brazil Discussion Megathread

    Not yet, but that will change soon: looks like the Brazilian Supreme Court and Congress are headed for a fight.
  15. gral

    The Americas 🇧🇷 Federative Republic of Brazil Discussion Megathread

    He's old(he should be 78 right now), and his habits aren't conductive to a long life.
  16. gral

    The Americas 🇧🇷 Federative Republic of Brazil Discussion Megathread

    Zero. Bolsonaro is done. The only way Bolsonaro comes back(and it won't be in 2026) is if things go so horribly wrong for the establishment they'll put him up to try and save themselves('See, we were wrong , and now we are correcting our mistakes. So... don't kill us? Please?'). Not impossible...
  17. gral

    The Americas 🇧🇷 Federative Republic of Brazil Discussion Megathread

    I suppose this was on the Political Chat subforum? I avoid the place like the plague. A few comments on what was said: - BolsoLula has a bigger chance of happening than most people think - they are opposed rhetorically, but their actions are quite convergent. In fact, Lula has done more...
  18. gral

    The Americas 🇧🇷 Federative Republic of Brazil Discussion Megathread

    We are headed into troubled times, indeed. But there is a misconception here: Lula is a smokescreen; who rules Brazil is the Centrão, just as they did with Bolsonaro from 2020 onwards. The above is why leftists complain so much about there being 'undercover Bolsonarists' in the government...
  19. gral

    The Americas 🇧🇷 Federative Republic of Brazil Discussion Megathread

    I'd say there is a reasonably good chance of the next MBT of the Brazilian Army being the Chinese VT4 - the Brazilian Army already sent some people to check on them. It wouldn't be my choice, or the Brazilian Army's(the requirements for a future MBT fairly scream 'We want a Type 10'), but if...
  20. gral

    The Americas 🇧🇷 Federative Republic of Brazil Discussion Megathread

    No, I'm saying it was never that.
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