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Seems like Ukraine political corruption didn't magically disappear on February 24, 2022 and the millions of dollars given to Kharkhiv's corruptocrats to build defenses instead went to the laundromat, hence why the Russians just walked over the border...

My guess is a stock photo since unlike the T14, that many F-16's have definitely been built.

The only surprise is of course when exactly Russia was going to kick it off. But the reports are coming in.

The Ukrainian MOD's public numbers that they've outright killed the entire initial invasion force twice are as trustworthy as the Kremlin's public numbers for the same reason.

This is all assuming the Ukrainian MOD's numbers are roughly accurate rather than inflated and / or deliberately conflating killed with casualties for propaganda purposes. Even France, which is supportive of Ukraine just gave an estimate of 'only' 150k killed out of 500k total casualties...

It does say something about the relative quality of troops, equipment and tactics between the Russians and Ukrainians that while the Zaphorizhia offensive is near parity in equipment losses (with Ukrainians using much more survivable NATO or inspired vehicles), for the Russians in Avdiivka...

To the soldier requesting a massive sustained artillery campaign similar to the one that allowed Wagner to take Bakhmut... Prigozhin is dead and your current leadership both close by and in the Kremlin were made very annoyed by his incessant complaining about not having enough fire support so...

With what manpower? If this continues for the 'usual' 4-6 years and the way it has been, Ukraine and Russia are both gonna be looking like Paraguay after the War of the Triple Alliance... even more than they do naturally... Poland, meanwhile has basically transferred their old Warsaw Pact...

Yeah, this right here is why I reserve judgment on any high up getting whacked until there's hard evidence from THEIR side or they're basically never seen again (and in the latter case, even Surovikin has been trotted out from whatever GULAG they keep him stashed 99% of the time.) Anything else...

Even if Ukraine somehow retakes 100% of its pre 2014 land and Putin's cabal gets replaced by some 'anti-Putin' cabal, the idea of any of Russia's current leadership facing trial outside Russia is chuckle worthy.

This seems to assume it's ALL going to the KIA/WIA and none is being eaten up by both legitimate administrative expenses or being siphoned into the 'Let's buy Shoigu a new superyacht as soon as the sanctions drop!' fund. Although OTOH... probably more evidence that Russian artillery units are...

At this point it's likely any major damage to the units of the Black Sea Fleet is beyond Russia's ability to repair until the end of the war

According to Ukraine Report (so grain of salt here), when Russian troops started retreating from Robotyne this last time their artillery stopped shelling the Ukrainians and instead their own troops to block the withdrawal. Straight out of WW2 IF true...

Russians get pushed out of one trench line, Russians build new trench line a few km south... boy this counteroffensive is totally picking up steam rather than resembling WW1 western front but with 1/10th or less troops!

I don't think we have much clue what Ukraine's and Russia's actual casualty counts are. Honestly with the pace and news / videos released I have serious doubts both combined top 50k wounded and killed across the entire 10 week+ counteroffensive. When the biggest news for an entire day from...

Love how Russian personnel on the ground are uploading close up pictures of the scratch n' dent bomber to the internet confirming that, yes, the Ukrainian attack was successful. I'm sure the Kremlin will just shrug their shoulders at the leak.

If this is accurate... man the Russian officer corps is done with life for a captured commander to just give up all his current information such that his unit gets eviscerated.

1. Any tank is better than no tank. 2. If Ukrainian tactics and strategy does its job, generally, the main threat to these tanks will be mines, which no tank handles particularly well. 3. Even if tactics and strategy fails... well... we haven't seen many tank duels compared to minefields, drones...

Worse is a lot of them are mobiks i.e. 'ablative armor' and space filler supporting and taking the hits for the actual combat units.

Ukraine and Russia illustrate once again why the Avdiivka front hasn't moved since 2014