Sergeant Foley
Well-known member
Could Walker get that 50% mark?
United States 2024: United States Senate Dicussion Thread
- Thread starter 49ersfootball
- Start date
Could Walker get that 50% mark?
Me: Walks in see's IWD voting for Walter Mondale...
My current status: Insane Asylum resident.
I haven't had my Coffee yet. I just got to work.
Still an improvement over the situation we have now.
Getting the house back was the realistic goal, getting the senate was the nice bonus. The real goal is to get governors mansions and state senates. which will be where the real action will be to clean up the election system for 2024.
StormEagle
Well-known member
Fetterman’s lead has shrunk. Him and Oz are now within a percentage point according to Fox.
None of the early ballots have been counted yet. Those are counted last, which is why Predictit gives Fetterman an 88% chance of victory.
There was def some fuckery in AZ, but outside of that it seems more that the red wave was a flop or a trickle.
DeSantis massively out preformed, winning Miami-Dade by 11 points, and the state by 20. He is making the case for 2024 with this election: Trump picks seem to have flopped, while DeSantis gave the republicans Florida.
Who is Predictit and why do they matter?
According to Abhorsen they are the most accurate way to tell who wins.
Predictit is a gambling site that basically gives a $1/share payout for successful guesses. The key is that people can buy other people's shares, making it a market. Markets have consistently been shown to be the best predictors of most things (including gambling markets for elections), as a market's job is to price something accurately. Everyone having skin in the game, and only making predictions with money on the line enhances accuracy vs pollsters, etc.
KilroywasNOTHere
"BEEP!"
you know what maybe the blackpillers have a point. I'm curious to see how the redpillers spin this.
Actually the gambling would render it highly inaccurate due to it being illegal for most people to actually use.
Vyor
My influence grows!
I agree with this. And gamblers... have never had a good sense for risks and probabilities.
Getting back the house is a pretty big deal, that more or less ensures that Biden becomes a lame duck president which is the real goal of this election. A narrow senate majority is basically the cherry on top if that happens. Over all it built up the populist movement which is essentally a new born politically speaking.
Also Florida became a deep red state which makes it much harder for the dems to win a presidency. This is very much a building election not when the damn breaks. Which I view as being something much further in the future.
Yinko
Well-known member
No it didn't. It's a purple state now. Meaning that it can flip-flop on a by-election basis.
Vyor
My influence grows!
It's... gone red the last 4 elections.
Prince Ire
Section XIII
The GOP picked a lot of weak candidates. I know quite a few people here don't want to hear it, but it's clear 2020 election denial hurts candidates.
Me: Walks in see's IWD voting for Walter Mondale...
My current status: Insane Asylum resident.
Boooyyy I'd chew my own thumbs off before resorting to that level of personal debasement
