WI: John II Komnenos focuses on the Turks, 1142-1143

History Learner

Well-known member
While listening to an episode of the History of Byzantium podcast the other day, I was intrigued by a rather interesting idea put forth by the host: We don't know for sure what the original intent of John II's final campaign was. Ostensibly, the Emperor was seeking to finally settle the issue of Antioch for the Empire, by forcing the subjection of the Latin rulers there to Imperial Roman rule. If such was the case, certainly the start to the endeavor was rather odd, in that the Emperor spent most of 1142 destroying Turkish fortifications scattered around the lakes on the approaches to Konya. The sudden focus shift to Antioch only seems to come about after the Emperor's son and heir Alexios dies, followed shortly by his second eldest son, Andronikos. Perhaps, as the podcast suggests, the death of his two sons was the real cause of the campaign's focus change, as John saw it as necessary to settle accounts with the wayward Principality to better secure the now much more concerning succession to his rule. Ironically, this change of course would also remove the exact circumstances that led to his own death, thus increasing the length of his own reign.

Now, whether that's true or not, let's assume it is and that the Emperor's two eldest sons don't die and thus he remains focused on attacking the Sultanate of Rum. Having cleared a line of attack on Konya, the strategic situation is certainly more than fitting for such. In December of 1141, the Danishmend Emir has died, resulting in his realm descending into a three way civil war between his sons and brothers, the Sultan of Konya Mus'ud sought to take advantage of by claiming territory from the divided Danishmends. John II, having thus cleared the way for an advance by taking the aforementioned forts and with a substantial siege train already attached to his army, was in a perfect position to retake Konya for the Empire and deal a serious blow to the Seljuk Sultanate.

I, for my own opinion, see this as arguably the best opportunity the Romans had to achieve such a result in the 12th Century in one go. Such a victory wouldn't have been decisive, but it would've weakened the Turks to such an extent that John II, with his methodical approach, could've capitalized on it to make serious further gains over the last years of his life. Gaining-and maintaining-serious gains on the Anatolian plateau would've seriously reduced Turkic raids into core Roman territory, and created a virtuous cycle of continuously weakening the Sultanate by reducing its territory and thus strengthening the Romans. John II most likely will die before this can be completed, most likely around 1150 or so given he was already 55 in 1143, but it seems likely the death blow for the Sultanate could be achieved by Alexios in tandem with the coming Second Crusade. At that point, the only organized Turkish power of serious note in Anatolia would be the prior mentioned Danishmends, who would like the capacity to threaten the Romans as the Sultanate of Rum did. Thus, the entirety of Byzantium's history is changed, with the most likely long term result being a survival.

What say you, denizens of the forum?
 

WolfBear

Well-known member
I think that you're underestimating John II's potential. IMHO, it's possible that he could survive until the 1160s, dying sometime in his 70s. His father Alexios I Komnenos lived to age 70, after all.
 

History Learner

Well-known member
I think that you're underestimating John II's potential. IMHO, it's possible that he could survive until the 1160s, dying sometime in his 70s. His father Alexios I Komnenos lived to age 70, after all.

Alexios I died at 61 or 62, Manuel died at 61; Isaac’s death is unknown, but generally it seems the Komnenos men died in their early 60s. John was already 55 at the time of his death, so living until 1150 would put him at 62.
 

WolfBear

Well-known member
Alexios I died at 61 or 62, Manuel died at 61; Isaac’s death is unknown, but generally it seems the Komnenos men died in their early 60s. John was already 55 at the time of his death, so living until 1150 would put him at 62.

This source gives a 70-year lifespan for Alexios:


And Andronikos Komnenos lived for almost 70 years before he was killed:

 

History Learner

Well-known member
This source gives a 70-year lifespan for Alexios:


And Andronikos Komnenos lived for almost 70 years before he was killed:


EB appears to have two different articles, one giving the birth date of 1057 and the one you cite, which gives 1048. Andronikos living into his late 60s appears to be the outlier, though.
 

WolfBear

Well-known member

History Learner

Well-known member
And Andronikos could have lived even longer if he wasn't killed!

Also, this Trapezuntine Komnenos prince lived into his late 60s or beyond, but he likewise appears to have been an exception:


Living to roughly their early 60s or so naturally appears to be common for the Komenos and assuming that for John II carries his reign to the end of the Second Crusade roughly.
 

WolfBear

Well-known member
Living to roughly their early 60s or so naturally appears to be common for the Komenos and assuming that for John II carries his reign to the end of the Second Crusade roughly.

How do you know that John II won't be an exception to this rule? For instance, when I imagine Russian Tsar Alexander II living longer, I can imagine him living to age 75+ even though many members of his family did not reach this age.
 

History Learner

Well-known member
How do you know that John II won't be an exception to this rule? For instance, when I imagine Russian Tsar Alexander II living longer, I can imagine him living to age 75+ even though many members of his family did not reach this age.

I don't, but it does seem likely to assume he will live roughly as long as most of the men in his family. Enough to see the Second Crusade through, with the destruction of the main Turkish polities in the Anatolian highlands, enabling his successors to focus on consolidating it and additional expansion as needed; finally securing Antioch and likely bringing a restored County of Edessa under their vassalage.
 

WolfBear

Well-known member
I don't, but it does seem likely to assume he will live roughly as long as most of the men in his family. Enough to see the Second Crusade through, with the destruction of the main Turkish polities in the Anatolian highlands, enabling his successors to focus on consolidating it and additional expansion as needed; finally securing Antioch and likely bringing a restored County of Edessa under their vassalage.

Does this prevent Edessa's subsequent fall? After all, if Edessa has a strong Byzantine protector, then it's much less likely to subsequently fall, right?

Also, this is more long-term, but if the southern Crusader states are still eventually conquered by the Muslims in this TL while the Byzantine Empire still remains strong, might the Byzantines be interested in resettling the surviving Crusaders in the Byzantine Empire on the condition that they will agree to assimilate? The Byzantines did have a history of assimilating various ethnic groups, and the idea of relocating Christians from Muslim lands and resettling them in the Byzantine Empire does have a precedent with Justinian II's resettlement of the Christian Mardaites from Lebanon into the Byzantine Empire several decades after Lebanon was conquered by the Muslims.
 

History Learner

Well-known member
Does this prevent Edessa's subsequent fall? After all, if Edessa has a strong Byzantine protector, then it's much less likely to subsequently fall, right?

Most likely it speeds it up slightly; John's death resulted in Edessa falling and if he's tied down in Anatolia fighting the Turks, that's all the same.

Also, this is more long-term, but if the southern Crusader states are still eventually conquered by the Muslims in this TL while the Byzantine Empire still remains strong, might the Byzantines be interested in resettling the surviving Crusaders in the Byzantine Empire on the condition that they will agree to assimilate? The Byzantines did have a history of assimilating various ethnic groups, and the idea of relocating Christians from Muslim lands and resettling them in the Byzantine Empire does have a precedent with Justinian II's resettlement of the Christian Mardaites from Lebanon into the Byzantine Empire several decades after Lebanon was conquered by the Muslims.

Most likely no, they'd probably return back to Catholic Europe.
 

WolfBear

Well-known member
Most likely it speeds it up slightly; John's death resulted in Edessa falling and if he's tied down in Anatolia fighting the Turks, that's all the same.



Most likely no, they'd probably return back to Catholic Europe.

Sad for Edessa. :(

And the religious differences would be just too stark, eh?
 

History Learner

Well-known member
Sad for Edessa. :(

And the religious differences would be just too stark, eh?

I'd imagine the loss will still provoke the Second Crusade, and here the Empire could participate in tandem with the Westerners. If the Rum Sultanate isn't entirely crushed by the time the Crusaders arrive, the joint host of the Byzantines and Latins should be enough to finish them off AND cripple the Danishmends; if the Rum have already been crushed, then the Danishmends will be grinded down entirely here. Antioch would likely already be solved in the Empire's favor as well, so it's likely the Emperor can and will lead the Roman Army into the field in support of the Crusade, which will do wonders for Western-Eastern relations.
 

ATP

Well-known member
I'd imagine the loss will still provoke the Second Crusade, and here the Empire could participate in tandem with the Westerners. If the Rum Sultanate isn't entirely crushed by the time the Crusaders arrive, the joint host of the Byzantines and Latins should be enough to finish them off AND cripple the Danishmends; if the Rum have already been crushed, then the Danishmends will be grinded down entirely here. Antioch would likely already be solved in the Empire's favor as well, so it's likely the Emperor can and will lead the Roman Army into the field in support of the Crusade, which will do wonders for Western-Eastern relations.

All true.If ERE remain stable,we would never have Ottoman empire.
 

WolfBear

Well-known member
All true.If ERE remain stable,we would never have Ottoman empire.

It would be sad to lose the Sultanate of Rum, though. I previously watched a video about the Medieval Turkification of Anatolia. It really was an interesting process:

 

Users who are viewing this thread

Top