Now, isn't this a bit hyperbolic?
A good point.
Nevertheless in the first week of August the effects of the German invasion are impossible to predict.
Possibly a little but Germany is building a large fleet and its conquest of most of western Europe - which would be the case if France fell, would pose serious problems as it did in 1940.
On the 2nd point its probably fairly clear where the Germans are going and that nothing going through Belgium or Luxembourg. As such France faces no serious external threat at the moment. Also if Germany has decided some years before to head east would they have built up all the railway lines and facilities in the relatively thinly settled lands bordering southern Belgium?