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I’d note that the Arrow War was mainly about grabbing what they could while the Qing were at their weakest. If Beijing had fallen, I think it’s more likely the Western powers try to install a puppet rather than cozy up to the Taiping. Then, not only do they get a puppet but they can get...

Huh. I was listening to a podcast on the rebellion. Anyway... China was already starting to fracture and local nobles/warlords were being relied upon to suppress them. Plus Hong Xiuquan and his family members were all some variations of ambitious and not entirely right in the head. The U.S...