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I think you're factually correct that the verdict will not be successfully appealed or overturned into a mistrial, but given your stance has been that Chauvin should be found guilty of at least 3rd degree murder & 2nd degree manslaughter characterizing yourself as not "hold[ing] out much hope"...

Everyone treating the appeal like it's going to be easy or a given rn:

it's a joke

Both of us rn:

My bet is murder 3 but not 2. Not what I think is right obviously, but what I think they'll do.

I might eat crow on this, but I'd give decent odds of a hung jury or mistrial.

You think restraining a criminal resisting arrest satisfies "evincing a depraved mind" or "without regard for human life?"