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This list has a bunch of assumptions that don't hold up. -- Britain is a huge question mark, depending on who is looking like the greater threat to the balance of powers. Calling Britain a "highly probable" Prussian ally is very much an over-hasty conclusion. -- Japan siding against Britain...

Even if "impossible" is always a big word, it's still exceedingly unlikely here. The Ottomans have to choose between blocs containing two historical foes; Austria and Russia. But at this time, the Ottoman holdings in the Balkans have really crumbled away over the past few decades (entirely or...

As I interpret it, the Russian view of Austria was not some rabid hate, but simply the adversity that results from clashing interests. Russia and Austria both had strategic objectives in South-Eastern Europe, and those were distinctly at odds. The last time they really tried to come to a...

Regarding my proposals for a West German state: it should be noted that I'm simply assuming French competence. Such would be required to achieve a clear victory in the first place, after all. The premise -- at least to the extent required -- seems shaky to me, obviously. If France is competent...

There are several things to consider. Perhaps the most important one is that creating a separate kingdom is very different from annexing anything for yourself. Napoleon annexed stuff left and right, and created puppet states with little real autonomy. The West German state (Kingdom of Rhenania?)...

A thing to consider is that Germany didn't/doesn't just have a Catholic South, but also a Catholic West. Here is a map showing the antebellum situation, with the NGF in red: Now, here's the same map, with a nifty green line added. Everything West of that line? Majority Catholic. And not a...