• The Sietch will be brought offline for HPG systems maintenance tomorrow (Thursday, 2 May 2024). Please remain calm and do not start any interstellar wars while ComStar is busy. May the Peace of Blake be with you. Precentor Dune
  1. Skallagrim

    Armchair General's DonbAss Derailed Discussion Thread (Topics Include History, Traps, and the Ongoing Slavic Civil War plus much much more)

    Humans are carbon-based, so we might say that his products.... neutralise... some of that carbon with every hit. :cool:
  2. Skallagrim

    Armchair General's DonbAss Derailed Discussion Thread (Topics Include History, Traps, and the Ongoing Slavic Civil War plus much much more)

    I don't pretend to know the most about this conflict. Not by a long shot. But out of everyone here, I certainly do know -- being, after all, an academic -- the very most about useless codswallop and self-important bloviation. And I tell you: there's an ungodly amount of it going around in this...
  3. Skallagrim

    Armchair General's DonbAss Derailed Discussion Thread (Topics Include History, Traps, and the Ongoing Slavic Civil War plus much much more)

    That's another point. I'm not saying Ukraine has won, or even that Ukraine will definitely win. I'm saying Russia has already lost. That's something else. Russia has lost, even if Ukraine also loses. The West has won. In the worst case scenario, the West will ultimately see that victory...
  4. Skallagrim

    Armchair General's DonbAss Derailed Discussion Thread (Topics Include History, Traps, and the Ongoing Slavic Civil War plus much much more)

    If these numbers are accurate, the last week comes down to a ratio of 43 to 1. If this signifies a trend, then 574 Russian losses over the last two years are indicative of 'the good times' for them... and they may expect that number of losses again in just the next six months or so. I'll say it...
  5. Skallagrim

    Armchair General's DonbAss Derailed Discussion Thread (Topics Include History, Traps, and the Ongoing Slavic Civil War plus much much more)

    The map shown is... well, delusional. It just shows Russian subdivisions and says "they'll all be countries". Very unlikely to just play out that way. Most of the 'ethnic regions' shown are >95% Russian, to begin with. They're not really viable as break-away ethnostates. Roughly speaking, the...
  6. Skallagrim

    Armchair General's DonbAss Derailed Discussion Thread (Topics Include History, Traps, and the Ongoing Slavic Civil War plus much much more)

    That is true, but the claim being challenged here is precisely that the USSR wanted war immediately, and that Hitler beat Stalin to the punch by mere months or even weeks. That's not supported by any real evidence. In fact, Stalin expected Hitler to stay busy in the West for a while (what with...
  7. Skallagrim

    Armchair General's DonbAss Derailed Discussion Thread (Topics Include History, Traps, and the Ongoing Slavic Civil War plus much much more)

    That 2022 map is pretty close to the ideal "alliance template map". Like a superior replacement of NATO.
  8. Skallagrim

    Armchair General's DonbAss Derailed Discussion Thread (Topics Include History, Traps, and the Ongoing Slavic Civil War plus much much more)

    Europe could, at least in theory, beat Russia without any American help. Russia is a shithole whose pre-war economy was outmatched by that of Italy. What Europe lacks is strength of will, but needs must, and if it really came down to it-- fuck Russia, it's a ruin of a country. The real problem...
  9. Skallagrim

    Armchair General's DonbAss Derailed Discussion Thread (Topics Include History, Traps, and the Ongoing Slavic Civil War plus much much more)

    Thankfully, @Marduk is correct in stating that it's essentially a fringe problem. It's become more prominent than it should be, precisely because the neocons wasted all good-will they ever had on actually senseless wars in the Middle East. (Both Afghanistan and Iraq are countries you shouldn't...
  10. Skallagrim

    Armchair General's DonbAss Derailed Discussion Thread (Topics Include History, Traps, and the Ongoing Slavic Civil War plus much much more)

    This is the great weakness of the "Muh Old Republic! No to the American Empire!" strain of throught that is deeply tied into the American Right. I mean... I get that strain of thought, but that ship has sailed. Even thirty years back, Pat Buchanan was already reduced to bitching about how...
  11. Skallagrim

    Armchair General's DonbAss Derailed Discussion Thread (Topics Include History, Traps, and the Ongoing Slavic Civil War plus much much more)

    The best case scenario is that Russia ceases to exist. This is also the most likely scenario, and it already was before this war began. Only at that point, the expectation of alert observers was that Russia would collapse into chaos once Putin croaked. Most people don't really grasp how close...
  12. Skallagrim

    Armchair General's DonbAss Derailed Discussion Thread (Topics Include History, Traps, and the Ongoing Slavic Civil War plus much much more)

    It's wet enough, and in summer, certainly warm enough. We used to see "swamp fever" (malaria) ubiquitously in the Netherlands -- also very much North of the Tropics. It persisted until the early 20th century, which is when the inpoldering was completed and the country's swampy nature finally...
  13. Skallagrim

    Armchair General's DonbAss Derailed Discussion Thread (Topics Include History, Traps, and the Ongoing Slavic Civil War plus much much more)

    What I mean is that under USSR mismanagement, you saw empty shelves and socio-economic implosion, too. And once the USSR fell, normal economic activity almost immediately resumed, but infrastructurally speaking, everything was a complete and utter mess. (One might argue that a few decades of...
  14. Skallagrim

    Armchair General's DonbAss Derailed Discussion Thread (Topics Include History, Traps, and the Ongoing Slavic Civil War plus much much more)

    When the Muslim Brotherhood took over in Egypt, it looked like that, too. Comparisons with BLM loot mobs in the USA are obvious as well. It's the universal sign of the barbarian.
  15. Skallagrim

    Armchair General's DonbAss Derailed Discussion Thread (Topics Include History, Traps, and the Ongoing Slavic Civil War plus much much more)

    This isn't even a statement; it has no meaning. You're just blathering now. Precipitated by an ongoing world war. Rather a different circumstance. Your intellectual dishonesty knows no bounds, it seems. That's not what I claimed, you're deliberately misrepresenting my statement. I argued that...
  16. Skallagrim

    Armchair General's DonbAss Derailed Discussion Thread (Topics Include History, Traps, and the Ongoing Slavic Civil War plus much much more)

    I've just outlined that the "underlying conditions" were in fact much less diverged at the time. Your argument is now one that relies on the assumption of predestination. It can't rely on existing trends at the time, since those don't support your thesis. The USA had to fight a bloody civil war...
  17. Skallagrim

    Armchair General's DonbAss Derailed Discussion Thread (Topics Include History, Traps, and the Ongoing Slavic Civil War plus much much more)

    You are applying observations about specific late-20th and early 21st century trends to an early 20th century context, particularly one in which the disparity regarding demographic conditions, degree of education, and overall technological capacity between the relevant nations had not yet...
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