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Something's wrong with this picture. 3 participants in the thread, but only 2 votes cast. Why would anyone be scared to cast a vote? You'd just potentially be 'wrong' in a non-falsifiable prediction at the very worst.

Inspired by: Is it plausible for another power besides the Belgian state to take receivership of the Congo Free State after the scandal over Leopold's Congo Company and its atrocities breaks and the territory is removed from Leopold and the Company's control. For instance, what if it's...