Just how viable would any attempts to spark Serb, Romanian, and/or Italian separatist uprisings in Austria-Hungary in 1917 in a no-WWI scenario (at least prior to 1917) if the Hungarians will rebel during this time? I'm thinking of separatist uprisings that are either genuinely local/indigenous or at least have a substantive indigenous basis even if they receive large amounts of foreign support from Serbia, Romania, and/or Italy, possibly including these countries' own troops disguised as separatist fighters. Think of the separatist uprising in the Donbass starting from 2014 for an example of the latter type of separatist rebellion--as in, one that has a substantive indigenous basis but also receives a huge amount of foreign support, including foreign troops (in this case, Russian troops disguised as Donbass separatist fighters to help them blend in).
What do you think? I know that Serbia, Romania, and Italy all had territorial designs on Austria-Hungary in the pre-World War I era, which is something that I don't actually see changing in this scenario. At the same time, they would also need Franco-Russian support for this and enough locals in places such as Bosnia, Transylvania, Trentino, et cetera to actually sustain a viable separatist uprising, even with a large influx of foreign troops. It seems to me that their best shot of doing this would be if Austria will fail to quickly subdue the rebelling Hungarians since that would make Austria appear rather weak. But if Austria is able to quickly crush the Hungarians, with or without German help, then aspiring separatists in places such as Bosnia, Transylvania, Trentino, et cetera might prefer not to risk it or else any attempted separatist uprisings there could quickly peter out just like they did in Kharkiv, Ukraine in 2014.
Anyway, what do you personally think about this?
What do you think? I know that Serbia, Romania, and Italy all had territorial designs on Austria-Hungary in the pre-World War I era, which is something that I don't actually see changing in this scenario. At the same time, they would also need Franco-Russian support for this and enough locals in places such as Bosnia, Transylvania, Trentino, et cetera to actually sustain a viable separatist uprising, even with a large influx of foreign troops. It seems to me that their best shot of doing this would be if Austria will fail to quickly subdue the rebelling Hungarians since that would make Austria appear rather weak. But if Austria is able to quickly crush the Hungarians, with or without German help, then aspiring separatists in places such as Bosnia, Transylvania, Trentino, et cetera might prefer not to risk it or else any attempted separatist uprisings there could quickly peter out just like they did in Kharkiv, Ukraine in 2014.
Anyway, what do you personally think about this?