What if the Franco-Spanish expedition against Charleston of 1706 was successful?

raharris1973

Well-known member
What if the Franco-Spanish expedition of 1706, aimed against Charleston, had been successful?

Here is the wiki page regarding the attempted expedition that was stopped, well short of the main defenses of the city. Lefebvre's Charles Town expedition - Wikipedia

My thought to rejigger things for a more successful outcome for the raiders/attackers is to give Cuba some relief from its yellow fever outbreak that year. Yellow fever was of course a common thing in that region, but some years were worse than others, so let's say this is a much milder year with some couple years prior being heavier instead in the natural disease epidemiological cycle.

This has several beneficial effects. The Spanish regime in Cuba is more enthusiastic to reinforce Le Moyne D'Iberville's expedition with Cuban raised troops, far fewer of the troops transported from France perish from disease, Le Moyne D'Iberville doesn't die of the fever and have to leave command to Captain Jacques Lefebvre, and the Spanish Governor of Cuba doesn't die from the fever.

The larger force, with more French soldiers, and especially more Hispano-Cubans, ventures forth from Havana, and makes a last stop in St. Augustine, Florida, reprovisioning and taking on some more men and guides.

Unlike OTL, it is not spotted by an English ship in advance of the approach to Charleston Harbor, at least not by any English ships that are able to make it back and provide advance warning prior to Franco-Spanish assault.

The Franco-Spanish forces bombard and storm the outer works of Charleston and work their way into the city, eventually capturing it. English forces, militia from elsewhere in Carolina and Virginia and regulars that can be scraped up, and more Spanish troops from Florida, move to the scene of the battles in South Carolina as the struggle progresses.

The Franco-Spanish occupy Charleston and the lowland South Carolina counties around it, especially in the southward direction toward the Savannah, for a time, occupying or destroying English plantations, crushing any English militia surfacing to fighting and any pro-English Amerindian groups, and supporting any anti-English Amerindian groups and revolted or runaway slaves in that region or in what we know as Georgia while they are present in southern South Carolina.

It is important to note, this is about 25 years before the foundation of England's Georgia colony, so Georgia, from a European point of view is effectively a no man's land. Spain certainly claims everything up to the Savannah river as part of its Florida colony. English Carolina has paper charter claim to it but no permanent settlements. However, its South Carolina's and Indian slave traders and raiders are active throughout the land and traverse to attack Florida settlements and even French competitors as far as the Mississippi.

So, while the Franco-Spanish force is carrying out its occupation of Charleston and the South Carolina low country it is hitting at the far southern flank of the British-settled zone of the 12 seaboard colonies, a fairly strategic position.

I'm undecided how long they can hold the position. In the overall war, the English ultimately did better on the colonial fronts by the end, so the occupation may be brief. In which case the Franco-Spanish likely burn and loot the occupied land and encourage a flight of runaway before they are removed. In the less likely case they hold it throughout the war, the Bourbon powers may still trade it back at the peace table, and Britain may think hard about trading something like Gibraltar to get it back. In the biggest of over performances probably the Spanish keep it, with the Spanish compensating the French in some other way.

Excluding the big over performance of permanent occupation, what happens if the Franco-Spanish ravage Charleston after a temporary occupation, what are the consequences for later development of the colony?

I would note that OTL history gave The Carolinas little rest from war after the historic end of the War of Spanish Succession/Queen Anne's War in 1713 and the Treaty of Utrecht. North Carolina was faced with the Tuscarora war in its backcountry from 1711-1715. Then South Carolina was ravaged by the Yamassee war, as. the Yamassee, and many other Amerindians, including most formerly allied with the South Carolinians, turned on the colonies and torched most of the plantations in the colony, sending most of the white population into a flight to refuge in Charleston and even ships in Charleston Harbor.

Tuscarora_War

Yamasee_War

How would relations with all these. tribes and their potential for hostile combat be effected by prior damage from the Franco-Spanish occupation and agitation?
 
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ATP

Well-known member
What if the Franco-Spanish expedition of 1706, aimed against Charleston, had been successful?

Here is the wiki page regarding the attempted expedition that was stopped, well short of the main defenses of the city. Lefebvre's Charles Town expedition - Wikipedia

My thought to rejigger things for a more successful outcome for the raiders/attackers is to give Cuba some relief from its yellow fever outbreak that year. Yellow fever was of course a common thing in that region, but some years were worse than others, so let's say this is a much milder year with some couple years prior being heavier instead in the natural disease epidemiological cycle.

This has several beneficial effects. The Spanish regime in Cuba is more enthusiastic to reinforce Le Moyne D'Iberville's expedition with Cuban raised troops, far fewer of the troops transported from France perish from disease, Le Moyne D'Iberville doesn't die of the fever and have to leave command to Captain Jacques Lefebvre, and the Spanish Governor of Cuba doesn't die from the fever.

The larger force, with more French soldiers, and especially more Hispano-Cubans, ventures forth from Havana, and makes a last stop in St. Augustine, Florida, reprovisioning and taking on some more men and guides.

Unlike OTL, it is not spotted by an English ship in advance of the approach to Charleston Harbor, at least not by any English ships that are able to make it back and provide advance warning prior to Franco-Spanish assault.

The Franco-Spanish forces bombard and storm the outer works of Charleston and work their way into the city, eventually capturing it. English forces, militia from elsewhere in Carolina and Virginia and regulars that can be scraped up, and more Spanish troops from Florida, move to the scene of the battles in South Carolina as the struggle progresses.

The Franco-Spanish occupy Charleston and the lowland South Carolina counties around it, especially in the southward direction toward the Savannah, for a time, occupying or destroying English plantations, crushing any English militia surfacing to fighting and any pro-English Amerindian groups, and supporting any anti-English Amerindian groups and revolted or runaway slaves in that region or in what we know as Georgia while they are present in southern South Carolina.

It is important to note, this is about 25 years before the foundation of England's Georgia colony, so Georgia, from a European point of view is effectively a no man's land. Spain certainly claims everything up to the Savannah river as part of its Florida colony. English Carolina has paper charter claim to it but no permanent settlements. However, its South Carolina's and Indian slave traders and raiders are active throughout the land and traverse to attack Florida settlements and even French competitors as far as the Mississippi.

So, while the Franco-Spanish force is carrying out its occupation of Charleston and the South Carolina low country it is hitting at the far southern flank of the British-settled zone of the 12 seaboard colonies, a fairly strategic position.

I'm undecided how long they can hold the position. In the overall war, the English ultimately did better on the colonial fronts by the end, so the occupation may be brief. In which case the Franco-Spanish likely burn and loot the occupied land and encourage a flight of runaway before they are removed. In the less likely case they hold it throughout the war, the Bourbon powers may still trade it back at the peace table, and Britain may think hard about trading something like Gibraltar to get it back. In the biggest of over performances probably the Spanish keep it, with the Spanish compensating the French in some other way.

Excluding the big over performance of permanent occupation, what happens if the Franco-Spanish ravage Charleston after a temporary occupation, what are the consequences for later development of the colony?

I would note that OTL history gave The Carolinas little rest from war after the historic end of the War of Spanish Succession/Queen Anne's War in 1713 and the Treaty of Utrecht. North Carolina was faced with the Tuscarora war in its backcountry from 1711-1715. Then South Carolina was ravaged by the Yamassee war, as. the Yamassee, and many other Amerindians, including most formerly allied with the South Carolinians, turned on the colonies and torched most of the plantations in the colony, sending most of the white population into a flight to refuge in Charleston and even ships in Charleston Harbor.

Tuscarora_War

Yamasee_War

How would relations with all these. tribes and their potential for hostile combat be effected by prior damage from the Franco-Spanish occupation and agitation?
They could not hold it,so - little changes ,expect possible Spain getting Gibraltar back?
 

raharris1973

Well-known member
They could not hold it,so - little changes ,expect possible Spain getting Gibraltar back?
Well Spain getting to use it to trade for Gibraltar or Minorca back would be interesting. Or France to get Acadia back?

But in South Carolina itself, a weakened city of Charleston and weakened colony from the occupation may not be able to handle the next Indian uprising that came right after the Spanish Successiiin War in 1715, the Yamessee War. English South Carolina might get wiped out, as it nearly was in that war in OTL.

The English wouldn’t stay away forever or leave Indians to gloat in victory for too little land long. But when the English come back to reclaim the land of South Carolina, it might be to build the *Georgia* colony there. And in the meantime, the Spanish moved the Florida border up to the Savannah river. So America has 12 founding colonies, a dirty dozen, instead of 13.
 
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ATP

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Well Spain getting to use it to trade for Gibraltar or Minorca back would be interesting. Or France to get Acadia back?

But in South Carolina itself, a weakened city of Charleston and weakened colony from the occupation may not be able to handle the next Indian uprising that came right after the Spanish Successiiin War in 1715, the Yamessee War. English South Carolina might get wiped out, as it nearly was in that war in OTL.

The English wouldn’t stay away forever or leave Indians to gloat in victory for too little land long. But when the English come back to reclaim the land of South Carolina, it might be to build the *Georgia* colony there. And in the meantime, the Spanish moved the Florida border up to the Savannah river. So America has 12 founding colonies, a dirty dozen, instead of 13.
Well,USA would reclaim it after 1812 - but till then,we could have more surviving indians there.And more catholics,too.
Maybe USA would have another catholic state,except Maryland ?
But,what it would change?
I do not belive,that USA would more catholics in one or two states would change their politics.
 

raharris1973

Well-known member
Well,USA would reclaim it after 1812 - but till then,we could have more surviving indians there.And more catholics,too.
Maybe USA would have another catholic state,except Maryland ?
Even if South Carolina and Charleston were wiped out in the Indian War of 1715-1717, I don't think it would take nearly a century for Anglos to come back, and under the US banner.

And I don't think it would add any Catholics to the English colonies either.

The only "pro-Catholic" effect might be that Florida is a little safer for a couple decades so its missions and mission brothers do better, and they have a little more success proselytizing some of the Amerindians and runaway slaves and mixed race Afro-Amerindians in the far south frontiers.

I think the English would be back re-colonizing the land of former South Carolina by no later than the 1730s.

North Carolina might just be renamed "Carolina" and expand into the northern half of old South Carolina to the Santee river north of Charleston. Or not.

And England would still want to set up Georgia as a military buffer colony, and a settlement location for debtors and the "deserving poor". Only this time, they will assign them the land north and east of the Savannah river, instead off the land south and west of it, so in this ATL, "Georgia" will be built on about half the land (the southern half) of the former South Carolina, or all its land.

But,what it would change?
This can make a big difference if Georgia is built over the grave of old South Carolina. The main reason is because as originally designed and for its first seventeen years, Georgia outlawed slavery. The Georgia Trustees, led by General James Oglethorpe, thought that a proper military buffer colony needed a population of farmer-citizen-soldiers, and that slaves at the border were a security risk.

It took years of lobbying, looking over jealously at South Carolina's wealth, the influence of expanding South Carolina planters, and confidence in the border gained from crushing Spanish invasions to convince the Georgia government to legalize slavery.

Here, Georgia, built over the grave of South Carolina, does not have South Carolina to be jealous of, just the more modestly prosperous North Carolina. And risk of seeing a colony destroyed in race war is more real, strengthening the security argument. So Georgia probably remains slave-free until the American revolution, and by the time revolutionary ideas are in the air it won't start slavery just then.

That likely blocks future slavery expansion into the Alabama, Mississippi, or Florida if US acquired, leaving just a narrow "lane" in Kentucky and Tennessee for slavery expansion and making it more likely that slavery is contained east of the Appalachians in Virginia, North Carolina, Maryland, and Delaware, and ended earlier in US history by gradual emancipation and compensation, with or without colonization.
 
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ATP

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Even if South Carolina and Charleston were wiped out in the Indian War of 1715-1717, I don't think it would take nearly a century for Anglos to come back, and under the US banner.

And I don't think it would add any Catholics to the English colonies either.

The only "pro-Catholic" effect might be that Florida is a little safer for a couple decades so its missions and mission brothers do better, and they have a little more success proselytizing some of the Amerindians and runaway slaves and mixed race Afro-Amerindians in the far south frontiers.

I think the English would be back re-colonizing the land of former South Carolina by no later than the 1730s.

North Carolina might just be renamed "Carolina" and expand into the northern half of old South Carolina to the Santee river north of Charleston. Or not.

And England would still want to set up Georgia as a military buffer colony, and a settlement location for debtors and the "deserving poor". Only this time, they will assign them the land north and east of the Savannah river, instead off the land south and west of it, so in this ATL, "Georgia" will be built on about half the land (the southern half) of the former South Carolina, or all its land.


This can make a big difference if Georgia is built over the grave of old South Carolina. The main reason is because as originally designed and for its first seventeen years, Georgia outlawed slavery. The Georgia Trustees, led by General James Oglethorpe, thought that a proper military buffer colony needed a population of farmer-citizen-soldiers, and that slaves at the border were a security risk.

It took years of lobbying, looking over jealously at South Carolina's wealth, the influence of expanding South Carolina planters, and confidence in the border gained from crushing Spanish invasions to convince the Georgia government to legalize slavery.

Here, Georgia, built over the grave of South Carolina, does not have South Carolina to be jealous of, just the more modestly prosperous North Carolina. And risk of seeing a colony destroyed in race war is more real, strengthening the security argument. So Georgia probably remains slave-free until the American revolution, and by the time revolutionary ideas are in the air it won't start slavery just then.

That likely blocks future slavery expansion into the Alabama, Mississippi, or Florida if US acquired, leaving just a narrow "lane" in Kentucky and Tennessee for slavery expansion and making it more likely that slavery is contained east of the Appalachians in Virginia, North Carolina, Maryland, and Delaware, and ended earlier in US history by gradual emancipation and compensation, with or without colonization.
So,could we avoid civil war here,or only made it less bloody ?
 

raharris1973

Well-known member
So,could we avoid civil war here,or only made it less bloody ?
Probably avoid it, if slave states think they have no chance, and vote gradual emancipation themselves, and slave populations are small enough that federal support for compensation ito owners is affordable.
 

ATP

Well-known member
Probably avoid it, if slave states think they have no chance, and vote gradual emancipation themselves, and slave populations are small enough that federal support for compensation ito owners is affordable.
Thanks! it would change USA,becouse states would still had right to leave union now.Very usefull,if Democrats keep fucking everytching they touch.

Funny thing - small war from 1706 could save USA now.
 

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