What If? What if (most of) Syria were teleported out into the Med on Dec 5th, 1994?

[WolfBear]

Is there consensus here that Hizballah cannot "win" the South Lebanon war against Israel here? Or most likely will not?

What about knock-on consequences for the Palestinian issue I speculated upon, and knock-on effects for Iranian proxy warfare region wide and its impact on relations with the US, Israel and others?

Agreed.

Arafat might perhaps be more inclined to make peace in 2000-2001. Afterwards, it depends on whether Bush or Mr. Well-Bred Politesse Al Gore wins in 2000. Also interesting to see if the Iraq War still happens in this TL. Then we could perhaps see Israeli-Iranian proxy naval warfare in the Mediterranean/Syrian Sea through Iraq's coastline.

 

[Atarlost]

Agreed.

Arafat might perhaps be more inclined to make peace in 2000-2001. Afterwards, it depends on whether Bush or Mr. Well-Bred Politesse Al Gore wins in 2000. Also interesting to see if the Iraq War still happens in this TL. Then we could perhaps see Israeli-Iranian proxy naval warfare in the Mediterranean/Syrian Sea through Iraq's coastline.

Iraq's coastline is all sea cliffs. They can't have a navy there. Not even Somali style armed speedboats.