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[prepares for worst-case scenario] I literally live just down the way from a railyard, a few miles from Malestrom AFB, an international airport, and live in the 'red zone' for nuclear war (i.e. so much radiation that you'll die within 24 hours of radiation poisoning)... so yeah. Eh, given the...

It isn't bullshit I'm afraid. Hell, we had a literal test run of what Russia did in 2016 in the Baltics years earlier, and people literally up and ignored it. Got at least one Baltic state in their back pocket thanks to that if I remember right. Historically, Russia has always considered the...

Given that Russia has been trying to reconsume the Baltic and its former territories over the last two decades... a fat chance of peace being on the agenda.

Um, @ATP, the KGB ran literal rings around pretty much the rest of the world during the Cold War. Remember, this is the same agency that had a spy ring that was a hair's breadth from controlling MI6, and was undetected for years.

[worries of Putin going down the 'Ukraine Early Push' insanity route intensifying] This does not bold well. Not well at all.

[starts praying about reality not taking the 'Aggressive Crimean Push' alternate timeline route] You know what? This is stupidly depressing shit when reality takes your future history setting as a blueprint... hopefully this stays on the 'Crimean Poke' route instead of the alternatives.

Yeah, and that is only going to end poorly for the Russian people, I'm afraid. Sometimes I want to go back in time and smother the entire 'shock therapy' idea in its crib. It might create another China but at least China doesn't truly want to burn the geopolitical order to ashes and damn the...

Yeah, and is willing to do practically everything to do so... which is painting a particularly nasty target on their backs of the 'Carthago delenda est' kind. You heard that right. This will only end up having bad ends for Russia and its people. No, it wants defensible anchor points, and guess...

... are you serious or is that sarcasm? Just asking because sarcasm doesn't show up well in the forum format.

Only because the infrastructure isn't completely finished yet. LNG water shipping is extremely hard, costly, and requires a lot of infrastructure to be actually viable. Trump canceled that program which served Putin quite well. ... reality, stop using my future history setting notes as a...

Largely because Trump stopped the LNG infrastructure project that Obama was doing, which suits Putin quite well... However, it is also extremely nostalgic on all levels of its society, which causes warped logic to seep in the competence.

As I said, normal logic doesn't apply. When dealing with seriously nostalgic/more ideology than sense people, 1+1=2 logic can't explain their methodology. Remember those Something-Something-???-Profit! memes? Think of the logic process being like that instead of something sane. Add to the fact...

Problem: that isn't a problem for Russia. When you've got a leadership that is nostalgic for the 'glory days' of the USSR and a population that is mostly in that camp, normal logic doesn't truly apply. Also, it's public knowledge that Russia would see any actual NATO intervention as something...

Oh boy, reality is curbing my notes for my future history setting again. Knew that something like this is going to happen right before Russia simply crushes Ukraine like a bug...