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I don't think it really matters who succeeds Yeltsin, if they have even a single nationalistic bone in their body (or are at least forced to look like it by the public) they're likely going to go after a Gamsakhurdia-led Georgia that's managed to retake one or both of the separatist regions...

From an overview of the Georgian Civil War's Wiki article & maps, as you say it does seem as though Gamsakhurdia was making progress and had taken over most of the west of the country before getting flattened after Russia agreed to help Shevardnadze. Maybe in these circumstances he could defeat...