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  1. M

    Russia gathering forces near Ukraine Border

    My point exactly. They could possibly fool NATO SIGINT for a little time with some rapid reaction forces, but the sheer scale of what they are doing and in turn, time needed for it, mean its just impossible. No one can just hide whole divisions for a week or few, and certainly not in a region...
  2. M

    Russia gathering forces near Ukraine Border

    It definitely is. But is it the main goal, a secondary goal, or opportunistic advantage made out of an unavoidable problem? "Much less" is very different from "enough to gain surprise". Perhaps Russian internet would not be guessing it. But would that work well enough to fool US SIGINT despite...
  3. M

    Russia gathering forces near Ukraine Border

    Yeah, but the time and scale of the preparations seem way beyond that - we live in the age of spy sats, SIGINT and cellphones - speaking of, plenty of the commentary on this was sparked by a large amount of photos of heavy equipment being moved to the region by rail. Then again, this is already...
  4. M

    Russia gathering forces near Ukraine Border

    Could he possibly gather this amount of heavy forces near the border secretly if he wanted to?
  5. M

    Russia gathering forces near Ukraine Border

    Yeah, and that's just the beginning. Part of it is pipeline being cheaper than running tankers. And the other part is very different organization of government-energy industry relationship. In USA, private companies extract gas on concession and sell it at market price to everyone who can pay...
  6. M

    Russia gathering forces near Ukraine Border

    Israel relationship is business only. Germany one, well, you probably know something about this matter - if the relationship between them was such that Merkel was willing and able to do something about it, Nordstream 2 would have been suspended or cancelled few years ago, on demand of Crimea or...
  7. M

    Russia gathering forces near Ukraine Border

    Not those, there was a US Marine detachment on joint exercises in Georgia at the time, not unlike the US forces in Ukraine now, and it got moved out to not get in the way of Russians so rapidly that the Russians managed to grab some of their hardware from a port before it got shipped away...
  8. M

    Russia gathering forces near Ukraine Border

    There were US soldiers in Georgia during the 2008 South Ossetia war too, and look how that worked out... Training detachments and such generally get out of the way when shit hits the fan, as far as i know this isn't a tripwire force, like in certain NATO countries or in South Korea.
  9. M

    Russia gathering forces near Ukraine Border

    Yes, but when was the last time they weren't being wasted by sanctions? And can Ukraine alone give them a major war?
  10. M

    Russia gathering forces near Ukraine Border

    Of course there are modernizations to make it a kinda viable second rate tank... But doesn't make it less obsolete. A T-34 is perfectly able to kill any of these too, especially if you put modern fire control on it, but that doesn't make it any less obsolete. Even though surprisingly enough...
  11. M

    Russia gathering forces near Ukraine Border

    To add to the irony of it, its doing so on invitation of a social-conservative government that hates Russia and leftist progressivism alike. There is another reason for this. Russian military prowess is slowly losing distance technology wise from the world's current leaders. Note how the vast...
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