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  1. W

    Historian uses what-if analysis to argue WWI was inevitable, and the mid-July crisis lull was misinterpreted

    Some countries already have a brain drain to the US even before WWI; for instance, Russia with its Jews. @raharris1973 If you're curious, you can contact professor Lebow through the e-mails on the links here: https://www.kcl.ac.uk/people/richard-ned-lebow...
  2. W

    Historian uses what-if analysis to argue WWI was inevitable, and the mid-July crisis lull was misinterpreted

    Rob, you are very much correct in your analysis here. That said, though, significant support for some immigration restriction was already building up in the US even before the 1920s. The US Congress very narrowly failed (by several votes both times) to override US presidential vetoes of literacy...
  3. W

    Historian uses what-if analysis to argue WWI was inevitable, and the mid-July crisis lull was misinterpreted

    I think that it's more akin to this: 1. Is everyone willing to compromise? 2. If someone is not willing to compromise, are their allies nevertheless prepared to back them up? 3. If the answer to #2 is Yes, then what do one's enemies/the opposing side do in response to this? Back down or fight?
  4. W

    Historian uses what-if analysis to argue WWI was inevitable, and the mid-July crisis lull was misinterpreted

    FWIW, I have actually corresponded a bit with Professor Lebow about this topic via e-mail. I think that the crucial factors in any future crisis (assuming that FF and his wife both survive Sarajevo) would be whether there would be sufficient room for compromise. I could imagine these two future...
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