If Stalin lives longer, which additional groups are likely to get deported en masse to the Soviet interior?

[WolfBear]

If Stalin lives longer, which additional groups are likely to get deported en masse to the Soviet interior? Or at least to have significantly greater than non-zero odds of having this occur to them? Obviously I'm well-aware of the possibility of a mass deportation of Soviet Jews (the Doctors' Plot) to the Soviet interior, but whom else? I was thinking the Hungarians in Subcarpathian Ruthenia if the Hungarians will rebel against Soviet rule while Stalin will still be alive since he could view them as potential dangerous subversives on the Soviet Union's border with Hungary, but who else might qualify for this? I mean for mass deportations in the event of a surviving Joseph Stalin.

 

[History Learner]

The Balts and probably another round for the various people of the Caucasus. In the long run, this probably will significantly help Soviet stability by removing the issues of the Baltic independence movements and reducing the chances for Chechen War-analogues.

 

[TheRomanSlayer]

Given that the Soviet Union was engaged in a counter-insurgency operation against the Ukrainian Insurgent Army until 1959, it wouldn't surprise me if Stalin does end up deporting the Ukrainians living in the Volhynian and Galician regions. That might also put a huge break in ethnic relations between Ukrainians and Russians if the USSR would still fall apart.

Twilight of the Red Tsar (the TL) has pretty much covered this, although I could also see the Crimean Tatars being subjected to another round of deportations as well, if he lived longer.

 

[PsihoKekec]

He was getting very paranoid about the Jews towards the end of his life, so they would most likely be the main target in the short term, probably deported resettled to the Jewish Autonomous Region en masse.
Azeris were generally considered unreliable, if it was carried out it would probably be the largest single deportation in USSR.
Abkhazians could also be targeted, it was something that Beria would be interested in fuelling Stalin's paranoia.

 

[WolfBear]

Given that the Soviet Union was engaged in a counter-insurgency operation against the Ukrainian Insurgent Army until 1959, it wouldn't surprise me if Stalin does end up deporting the Ukrainians living in the Volhynian and Galician regions. That might also put a huge break in ethnic relations between Ukrainians and Russians if the USSR would still fall apart.

Twilight of the Red Tsar (the TL) has pretty much covered this, although I could also see the Crimean Tatars being subjected to another round of deportations as well, if he lived longer.

If Galician and Volhynian Ukrainians get deported en masse, then frankly, I'm not actually sure that there ever is a breakup of the Soviet Union later on.

 

[PsihoKekec]

It's not them who broke up the USSR, but all the failed policies of it's leadership.

 

[WolfBear]

It's not them who broke up the USSR, but all the failed policies of it's leadership.

But the USSR could have survived in a modified form (New Union Treaty) if it wasn't for Ukraine's secession from the Union.

He was getting very paranoid about the Jews towards the end of his life, so they would most likely be the main target in the short term, probably deported resettled to the Jewish Autonomous Region en masse.
Azeris were generally considered unreliable, if it was carried out it would probably be the largest single deportation in USSR.
Abkhazians could also be targeted, it was something that Beria would be interested in fuelling Stalin's paranoia.

What was the issue with Azeris? Too sympathetic towards Turkey?

The Balts and probably another round for the various people of the Caucasus. In the long run, this probably will significantly help Soviet stability by removing the issues of the Baltic independence movements and reducing the chances for Chechen War-analogues.

Is the entire Baltic population going to be deported en masse to Siberia?

 

[ATP]

But the USSR could have survived in a modified form (New Union Treaty) if it wasn't for Ukraine's secession from the Union.



What was the issue with Azeris? Too sympathetic towards Turkey?



Is the entire Baltic population going to be deported en masse to Siberia?

1.Probably true
2.Yes.
3.Probably yes - sralin said " litwa budiet,no litowcow no budiet"/There would be Lithuania,but not lithuanians/

 

[Skallagrim]

In summary:

 

[Agent23]

In summary:

YOU GO TO GULAG, YOU GO TO GULAG.
EVERYONE GOES TO GULAG.

Fixed it for you..