Um...
I have...
questions.
1. What are they holding the weapons with?
1.a. How are they reloading?
1.b. How much ammunition do they have? (and where are they carrying it)
1.c. Those look like they might be shotguns? (Can't really tell) What type of weapons were they issued?
2. How are they handling recoil? Adult turkey's can be pretty hefty (at least, the fattened domesticated ones), but their gripping/arm strength is less impressive. Their stability... even less so.
2.a. more broadly - when and how were they trained? If Erdogan just started dumping weapons in the woods or near turkey farms, an appreciably portion of the would-be rebels are going to kill themselves or each other by accident (or on purpose, they can be pretty ornery buggers even to each other).
3. How are they aiming? For anything more than shotguns at point blank, they'll need to do some bird-yoga to use the sights.
4. How did our vaunted alphabet agencies manage to miss such a massive movement of weapons and supplies?
5. Are only adult Turkey's rebelling, or also chicks (what weapons are they using, as questions 1-3 apply with even more force)?
6. There are multiple subspecies of turkeys, are all of them involved in the uprising?
7. Turkey populations extend across Canada & Mexico, and both countries tend to look to the birds as part of holiday meals (not American thanksgiving, presumably) - are those Turkey's rebelling?
8. Erdogan just committed a pretty blatant act of war against the US - not a lot of Turkey's on US submarines or naval bases - what kind of retaliation is likely?
9. How are the Turkey's coordinating?
10. How are the domesticated Turkeys getting out of the farms?
11. Turkeys are... well... not too bright, nor possessed of keen binocular vision - their accuracy and tactics are likely to be wanting.
Now, presuming only live Turkeys are rebelling, and we're not dealing with cyber-zombie turkeys, then the turkey uprising is relatively concentrated. Most wild turkeys are East of the Mississippi, and most of the remainder are west of the Rockies. Alaska, Nevada, and Hawaii have none, at least according to a quick websearch. The greatest concentrations seem to be along the Appalachians ( and Florida) for some reason. Conveniently for the USA, this territory has relatively low human population densitites and is relatively heavily armed.
The domesticated turkey production seems to be concentrated in the south central portions of the US (Virginia, Carolinas, Kentucky, Tennessee, Alabama, Mississippi, Arkansas, Missouri, Texas). While this seems like a bigger problem at first, the fact is that most of those fowl fiends are effectively imprisoned, rendering movements and concentration of forces exceedingly difficult and turning them into de-facto hostages for the duration of hostilities. In most cases, cutting power and supplies to the mega-farms is a simple process and would result in the death of 'production lines' in a few days, at most.
TL
R - had one too many coffees today, so overthinking this.