Quoting to follow up on my own post:Not sure how an RFK Independent run might effect the generals. I could see him pulling in some of the "not really right wing but just not voting democrat" and anti-vax
and potentially even some of the little L libertarian crowd, too.
Most dangerously for the right, is the ex-dems who left the party or were pushed out, and only reluctantly vote GOP because fuck democrats. I can tell you right now that he appeals to those people. Especially as an independent.
I am now much more confident in predicting how an RFK Jr. Run will effect the candidates, and that prediction is quite the opposite of those on this site.
Based on this poll, I am predicting that this will hurt Trump far, FAR more than Biden. Democrats fucking hate him and will NOT be voting for him in any significant numbers. The right on the other hand, actually like him, and as far as I can tell, a lot of other right leaning independent types do, too. I think some Republicans like him better than some GOP candidates, But I don't have graphs for that.
But I will say that his stance on Ukraine and Vaccines makes him a non starter for most democrats. Additionally the word around the media sphere is that he's planning to grill the DNC and democrats. They're just not going to be voting for him.
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