Alternate History The Undying Empire: A Trebizond Timeline

stevep

Well-known member
Eparkhos

Well that was bloody and chaotic. Despite his rashness I was almost feeling sympathy for Louis by the end.

Duerte has done well out of his backstabbing Aragon and could well be on the way to controlling large chunks of southern France, even if the latter are currently distinctly battered. Given their different language and culture if Duerte can maintain such control for any period of time it could make their loss for France permanent. There is the distinct danger that some states find their replaced a French monolithic state by an Iberian one. Albeit that being at a greater distance might be of less interest to the northern members of the alliance. Which in turn might distract Duerte from his crusades in N Africa.

Although with a pretty much fully united Iberia plus its colonial lands, even if Ferdinand manages to keep the Balearics and Valencia and with the Ottomans a shadow of their OTL strength a continued reconquest across much of the Maghreb might stand a better chance. Unless either the region produces a great leader itself or gets outside aid, possibly the Mamelukes? He has almost certainly made a lifelong enemy of Ferdinand however and Naples in this time period is potentially still very wealthy.

The level of the defeat makes me wonder what will be left of France and what sort of state will it be in? Have to see what develops.
 

gral

Well-known member
Nitpicks:

You usually give the name of the Lusitanian king as 'Duerte', while the Portuguese form(even at the time, AFAIK), is 'Duarte'(Duarte is the old-form Portuguese translation of Edward; nowadays, the form 'Eduardo' is the usual one). Which one is right?

Also, you mentioned on the two previous chapters that Louis died on January 1523(in one of them, you give the date of 16th January). Here, he dies on February 28th. Which one is the correct one?
 

ATP

Well-known member
So,like somebody said,many things must change so everything remain the same - becouse we still have powerfull Spain as a result.
Which is logical - in 16th century either Spain or France must become superpower.Since France fall,Spain must become Empire.
 

Eparkhos

Well-known member
Eparkhos

Well that was bloody and chaotic. Despite his rashness I was almost feeling sympathy for Louis by the end.

Duerte has done well out of his backstabbing Aragon and could well be on the way to controlling large chunks of southern France, even if the latter are currently distinctly battered. Given their different language and culture if Duerte can maintain such control for any period of time it could make their loss for France permanent. There is the distinct danger that some states find their replaced a French monolithic state by an Iberian one. Albeit that being at a greater distance might be of less interest to the northern members of the alliance. Which in turn might distract Duerte from his crusades in N Africa.

Although with a pretty much fully united Iberia plus its colonial lands, even if Ferdinand manages to keep the Balearics and Valencia and with the Ottomans a shadow of their OTL strength a continued reconquest across much of the Maghreb might stand a better chance. Unless either the region produces a great leader itself or gets outside aid, possibly the Mamelukes? He has almost certainly made a lifelong enemy of Ferdinand however and Naples in this time period is potentially still very wealthy.

The level of the defeat makes me wonder what will be left of France and what sort of state will it be in? Have to see what develops.
I do find the concept of an independent Aquitaine quite interesting, so you essentially just read off a page of my notes in that regard.

The Mamluks aren't in any position to give aid to the Maghreb, as we shall soon see. (hint: the Anabasis of the Turkmen). The Reconquista will carry over into Africa, as I always find such things quite interesting.

France is in hell right now. Louis was succeeded by a barely legitimate cousin, who died without an heir. The throne passed to a certain foreign general, who suddenly found himself having to fight a cadet branch of the Bourbons for the crown. All the while, a massive peasant revolt is burning up most of the country, and the !Protestants are spreading like wildfire.
Nitpicks:

You usually give the name of the Lusitanian king as 'Duerte', while the Portuguese form(even at the time, AFAIK), is 'Duarte'(Duarte is the old-form Portuguese translation of Edward; nowadays, the form 'Eduardo' is the usual one). Which one is right?

Also, you mentioned on the two previous chapters that Louis died on January 1523(in one of them, you give the date of 16th January). Here, he dies on February 28th. Which one is the correct one?
Yeah, Duerte/Duarte is just a typo. I have a friend named Duerte (I think his parents made a typo on the birth certificate lol) so I default to that when I'm not paying attention.

Louis dying twice is also a typo I'll chalk up to the difference in contemporary records.
So,like somebody said,many things must change so everything remain the same - becouse we still have powerfull Spain as a result.
Which is logical - in 16th century either Spain or France must become superpower.Since France fall,Spain must become Empire.
That's a very interesting analysis of this period.
 

ATP

Well-known member
Eparkhos

Well that was bloody and chaotic. Despite his rashness I was almost feeling sympathy for Louis by the end.

Duerte has done well out of his backstabbing Aragon and could well be on the way to controlling large chunks of southern France, even if the latter are currently distinctly battered. Given their different language and culture if Duerte can maintain such control for any period of time it could make their loss for France permanent. There is the distinct danger that some states find their replaced a French monolithic state by an Iberian one. Albeit that being at a greater distance might be of less interest to the northern members of the alliance. Which in turn might distract Duerte from his crusades in N Africa.

Although with a pretty much fully united Iberia plus its colonial lands, even if Ferdinand manages to keep the Balearics and Valencia and with the Ottomans a shadow of their OTL strength a continued reconquest across much of the Maghreb might stand a better chance. Unless either the region produces a great leader itself or gets outside aid, possibly the Mamelukes? He has almost certainly made a lifelong enemy of Ferdinand however and Naples in this time period is potentially still very wealthy.

The level of the defeat makes me wonder what will be left of France and what sort of state will it be in? Have to see what develops.


I just remembered,that Berber in Maghreb hated arabs/well,still hate them/,and were once christians.Some tribes in 16th century still could be.
So,there is good chance then united Spain would use Berber as fifth column to conqer Maghreb.
There was/in early 16th century/ still christian kingdom in Sudan - but i do not knew,how much it could help Spain.

And, when they try find sea road to India, they could accidentally find Brasil,too.By the way - sea road to India made Egypt poor enough that Ottomans could conqer it in 1517 in OTL.
And in long term made Ottomans poor and break them economically.So, if anybody made that/sea road to India/ ,it means economical collapse of all states which in OTL belonged to Ottomans - including Trebizond.
 
Part XLIII: Peace? (1523--)

Eparkhos

Well-known member
Part XLIII: Peace? (1523--)

The end of the Middle Ages is most commonly dated to either 1453, with the fall of Constantinople to the Ottoman Empire[1], or 1523, with the death of Louis XII in battle and the resulting end of the War of the Three Leagues. The selection of the latter date is quite rational, as the War of the Three Leagues did mark a turning point in European history. Many of the war’s aftershocks--the Second Jacquerie, the Bauernkrieg, and the Great Saxon Rising--were inevitable before the war was even over, as the great losses in men and material that had been caused by the half-decade of war made increasing taxes on the already desperate peasantry a certainty. The sheer amount of death and destruction during and because of the war was by itself enough to close this chapter of history, but the longest-lasting effects of it would come with the treaties that ended it.

The House of Valois had a problem with male heirs, namely that there were very few. Through a string of diseases, unfortunate accidents and all-around bad luck, the once sprawling family tree had parsed down into a glorified shrub. For the first few years of his reign, Louis’ heir-apparent had been his cousin, Louis de Valois-Orleans[2], but his death in 1515 had shunted the title of crown prince off to his even more distant cousin, François d'Angoulême[3] who was in his early twenties and was married to Claude of Brittany, the scion of a family known for its fecundity. Surely, the succession was safe. But then Francois fell in battle against the Marians in 1520, and Claude miscarried a posthumous son, ending the male line of yet another Capetian cadet branch. This sparked a succession crisis, as the next eligible claimant to the throne was none other than Philip II of the Rhinemouths. Even as the war raged on in the north, there was a distinct possibility that it might all be ended by Philip inheriting the French throne. This period only lasted a year, however, and in 1521 Louis declared that no member of the House of Burgundy would be allowed to sit upon the French throne under any circumstances, and this was backed up by the hastily-assembled Estates General. With Philip disinherited, the position of next-in-line effectively became empty, while the next-in-line was tracked down. The House of Valois-Bourbon was essentially extinct in the male line, their only surviving legitimate man being Louis, the Bishop of Liege, who was rapidly approaching his eightieth birthday. The Bourbons had been the most fecund of the Valois cadet branches, but every other male member of the clan had fallen in battle during the war, a show of shocking misfortune. At long last, the archivists and genealogists managed to track down the closest surviving male relative of the Valois (other than Louis, of course); his tenth cousin twice removed, Charles d’Alençon. Charles was well-liked and had proven himself in battle against the Iberians, and so he was an excellent pick for heir-apparent. There was the slight problem that his wife was barren, but that could be worked out when they weren’t at war with the pope.

In February 1523, after Louis was finally killed in battle, Charles IX was swept onto the throne. Not clouded with pride and delusion like his cousin had been, the new king recognized that the war had been as good as lost since 1521. He sued for peace at once, hoping to end the foreign conflicts so he could turn his attention to dealing with the murderous, thieving hordes of militant peasants who were running around Poitou and Normandy. The Munsterians had similar problems of their own, the Bauernkrieg having begun in full force, and they were already on the verge of exhausting their collective funds. As such, they were agreeable to a peace conference. The Marians, meanwhile, were having a field day on the Lombard plains, and they stalled a ceasefire until they had managed to recover everything except Milan, so they had as strong a negotiational position as they possibly could. However, by the end of June 1523, all parties had agreed to a peace settlement, to be conducted in three different conferences (per se).

The first treaty was conducted between France and the Iberian states, in the Peace of Narbonne. Duarte was more or less satisfied with the bulk of his possessions on the southern side of the Pyrenees, but saw expansion northwards as an opportunity to create a valuable buffer zone between France and the lands he actually cared about. The Count of Rodez had also pledged his fealty, and the king felt pressured to protect him lest he appear unreliable and borderline traitorous to the rest of his vassals. Charles, for his part, just wanted a stable and neutral southern frontier so he could concentrate on internal affairs and not have to worry about raiders from the south further exacerbating problems. After a few days of negotiations, they came to an arrangement. The Viscounties of Bearn and Begore had previously been vassals of the Navarese crown, and so Charles ceded them to Duarte in his role as King of Navarre. The counties of Foix and Commiges would also be given over to Aragon, as well as Toulouse and the lands immediately surrounding it. Rodez would also be ceded to Aragon, but would remain as an exclave from the kingdom proper. No financial penalties would be imposed upon either party. This peace was agreeable to both monarchs, but it angered the French nobles, and Charles was nearly assassinated upon returning to Paris.

The next peace was concluded with the Munsterians. Edward had effectively pulled out of the conflict and was desperately trying to put down the Geraldine Rising in Ireland, which had succeeded in driving the English out of the island bar only Dublin and Cork, which were under siege as the diplomats spoke. The Rhinemouthers were on the verge of financial insolvency, having borrowed great sums of money from domestic bankers to support the war effort, and had suffered much damage from de Foix’s raids. The Munsterian states were also badly battered by their losses from the war and especially from the Great Raid of 1521, and Eric was only able to keep them working together with the promise of imminent victory. Bogislaw, meanwhile, had pulled back from the war as well, having to deal with the Bauernkrieg, which was the mother of all peasant revolts and was currently savagining Swabia and Thuringia. There was also the Lower Saxon Rising, which had been sparked by the French-aligned Duke of Brunswick fleeing from Imperial armies into Saxony, burning and looting as he went, which had driven the peasants to throw out their rightful rulers and establish independent republics and militia councils with the goal of local self-defence. This was intolerable to the feudal lords, and many of the princes of the Empire were threatening to elect an anti-emperor who would do something about the rebels if Bogislaw didn’t help them.

My point is, the Munsterians were on the verge of breaking themselves, and so they were hardly in a position to impose crushing terms against the French. Because of this, the changes in territory at the end of the war was surprisingly small. The Rhinemouthers would annex Picardy, which they had briefly held in a dynastic union twenty years beforehand, and Guise to the Rhinemouths proper, while the County of Rethel would be subject to the Duchy of Luxembourg, which was in personal union under Philip II. South-eastern Champagne would be annexed into the Duchy of Lorraine, while the Duchy of Bar would be broken off and given over to Bogislaw’s youngest son, Barnim[4]. There were also a number of fairly minor border arrangements, with several Munsterian states annexing a few castles or towns along the border. The Duchy of Brittany would also have its independence restored to it, with the complex chain of marriages and suspicious deaths that had once nearly brought it into personal union with France wound up placing Pedro de Navarre, former regent of Navarre, upon the Breton throne. Finally, an incredible amount of money would be paid to the Munsterians, equivalent to the total income of the French crown for a year, to be distributed amongst the states of the League ‘for the benefit of all’. Most of this money was taken by Philip to pay back his money-lenders, but enough made it to the smaller states to allow them to at least start paying down their debts. Such a large indemnity severely weakened the strength of both France at large and Charles himself, and the increased taxes needed to make up the balance and keep the state running merely exacerbated the ongoing peasant uprisings across France.

And, finally, there was the Treaty of Savona, conducted between France and the Marians in early 1524 after several months of tenuous negotiations. The Marians were doubtlessly victorious in the region, having effectively driven the French and their allies from the peninsula almost entirely on their own. Because of this, they were rather arrogant and, despite Hyginus’ best attempts at diplomacy, it was nearly impossible to establish internal agreement, which made presenting a united front towards the French, to say the least. At long last, the Pope was able to wrangle his supporters and met with Charles personally at Savona in August 1523.

Savona and Lombardy, as steadfast allies of the French, would be shown little mercy. Savona’s mainland territory would be halved, with Genoa being reclaimed by the Calvians[5] and everything east of Rapallo being annexed by Tuscany. However, they would be allowed to rebuild their fleet to as great extent as they pleased, and they kept most of their trading posts in the western Mediterranean, albeit because of logistical problems in transferring them to Calvi or Venice rather than any legitimate mercy. Hyginus would recognize Giovanni Comnini, who was elected as doge in 1525, as legitimate Lord of Savona a few weeks later, and the Savonese would join the Trinitarian Coalition against the barbaries a few years down the road. Naples would be officially recognized as the possession of the former Ferdinand III of Aragon, and in a later treaty between Duarte, Ferdinand and Hyginus, Sardinia, Sicily and the Balearic Islands would all be recognized as de jure territory of Naples, marking an effective reversal of the dynastic situation of previous centuries.

However, the most dramatic impact of the Treaty of Savona was in northern Italy itself. Lombardy, as both a kingdom and as a state, would be dismembered in its entirety. Venice would regain most of its pre-invasion territory along the Po plain, except for Mantua, which more than doubled its mainland holding with the stroke of a pen. That most of this region was a burned-out wreck of its former self, as was most of northern Italy by this point, does not seem to have bothered the Doge. The island fortress of Ile-du-Roi would be razed and its weapons distributed amongst the Marian states, with all of the Marian states agreeing to prevent the construction of any fortress here in the future, which would prevent the passage of vessels up the river. Modena would expand itself greatly, annexing Parma and Ferrara from Lombardy. By now, the region had been so devastated by the back-and-forth fighting that Ferrara was the only halfway decent city left, and so it became the capital of the newly-established Grand Duchy of the Four Cities. Urbino also gained new territories, being awarded the fortress city of Mantua in what was almost certainly a calculated effort to turn the Urbinians and the Modenese against each other and thus allow Hyginus to wield more influence over them both. The Tuscans would move their border further north, to the northern foothills of the Apennines, securing them a defensible frontier and a great deal of influence over the regions to their north. And, of course, new states were carved out of Lombardy. The Duchy of Savoy was returned to its exiled dynasty, stradling lands in both the lowlands of Italy, the Alps, and the lowlands of Provence. The Duchy of Alessandria was carved out around the city of the same name, its ruler being a friend of Hyginus named Alessandro Agostino Lascaris[6]. The Counties of Piacenza and Cremona were also established, once again around the cities of the same name, and were made the segnorities of Fredrico di Gonzago, the exiled descendant of the former Dukes of Mantua. More importantly as far as Hyginus was concerned, he had been one of his closest political allies in Rome and had helped in the defense of the city against the army of the Borgias. The city of Como, Hyginus’ former residence during his time as a cardinal, was annexed into the Papal States, while Avignon and Benevento were restored to Roman control. Finally, the remnant of the Kingdom of Lombardy was formerly reduced to the Duchy of Milan, and Massimiliano Sforza, the son of the last native duke, was restored to the Milanese throne.

The Duchy of Provence would also be raised to a state in personal union with France, rather than an integral part of it as it had been before. This had little immediate impact, but Hyginus intended for it to complicate the relations between the two states and turn it into a quagmire that would reduce its value as a staging point. No money would change hands, however, as Hyginus sensed the financial weakness of the French monarchy and feared that destabilizing it would only worsen the ongoing crisis, a fear that had far more justification than he knew. Finally, on the far side of the Adriatic, the secondary Epirote theater of the war was also brought to a close at Savona. The Epirotes had been a Neapolitan protectorate before the war, and upon the outbreak of the war they had been attacked by the Venetians and the Venetian-allied Albanians and Moreotes. When the war in Naples had spiraled out into civil war, Epirus too had collapsed into civil war between the French-aligned Carlo III and the Aragonese-aligned Ferrante. Ferrante had triumphed after receiving support from the Venetians, but he was a puppet of the Serene Republic because of it. The Venetians would annex Vonitsa, Preveza and all the islands of the region, while the Albanians would seize everything north of Ottoman-held Sarandoz and the Moreotes would annex Missolonghi and the lands around the Aitoliko lagoon.

While the War of the Three Leagues was over, a time of great strife had only just begun. Central France and much of Germany[7] were consumed by revolts as hungry and angry peasants rose up against their oppressors in hopes of ending centuries of oppression. In the east, Hungary, Austria and Serbia had all been devastated by a long-running civil war between the newly-ascended Ladislaus V and his brother Janos[8], the prosperity of the Raven’s reign wiped away in a few scant years. Across Europe, many thousands lay dead from hunger and hundreds of thousands struggled to survive, their lands and homes wrecked by the shadow of war or raids from neighboring states. With the chief maritime powers of the Mediterranean engaged in a death-struggle, the barbary corsairs had had a field day, ravaging the coasts of the western Mediterranean and enslaving thousands. The common people of Europe were tired, desperate and disillusioned, having watched their sons and brothers march to their deaths for the sake of some petty noblemen. The fires of revolt burned across much of the region, but it was only with the publication of the 67 Articles of Ulrich Zwingli that these fires would rise into an all-consuming inferno….

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
[1] The Hundred Year’s War ended in 1458 ITTL, so there is far less impetus for 1453 to be considered the close of the era. The survival of the Moreotes and Trapezuntines also weakens the argument that it ended the Byzantine Empire, so the Fall of Constantiople, while still significant, isn’t as important.
[2] OTL’s Louis XII
[3] OTL Francis I. I’m using the modern form of his name here, btw, he wrote his name ‘Francoys’.
[4] The succession laws of Pomerania dictated that each son would receive an equal amount of their father’s land unless they were awarded appenages before his death. Bogislaw intended his eldest son, Kasmir/Conrad to succeed him as Duke of Pomerania and Brunswick and Anna as Duke of Brandenburg, and so gave appenages to his other three sons; Georg, his second son, became Duke of Anhalt, and his fourth son, Otto, became Burgrave of Donha.
[5] Genoa was by now so thoroughly wrecked by five subsequent battles during the War of the Three Leagues that it was effectively useless, and Calvi remained the capital of the republic. It is likely that Hyginus advocated this in hopes of further involving Calvi in mainland affairs, so that he could use it as a counterbalance against the Venetians.
[6] Alessandrio is a female-line descendant of Ioannes Vatatzes, but still used the prestigious Lascaris surname because, after all, who was going to stop him? Vatatzes’ ghost?
[7] The Bundschuh Movement occurred as in OTL, but the spark of the Bauernkrieg was not Luther’s writing as in OTL but rather several years of drought and famine that exacerbated the already tyrannical tax systems of the Carinthian lords. Joss Fritz and his peasant army kicked off the Bauernkrieg proper with their sack of Heidelberg in 1519, and since then a mixture of insurgencies and outright revolts have crippled central and southern Germany, with no signs of stopping. The Second Jacquerie began when the self-defense groups that had been organized to drive off the Munsterian raiders in central France were attacked by their own lords, who feared organized peasants more than they did enemy raiders.
[8] They had a civil war off camera, I couldn’t work myself up to actually make an update for a periphery conflict after spending so much time writing and rewriting the sections on the War of the Three Leagues.
 

gral

Well-known member
The common people of Europe were tired, desperate and disillusioned, having watched their sons and brothers march to their deaths for the sake of some petty noblemen. The fires of revolt burned across much of the region, but it was only with the publication of the 67 Articles of Ulrich Zwingli that these fires would rise into an all-consuming inferno….

Oh yes, this is going to be a shit-show...
 

stevep

Well-known member
I just remembered,that Berber in Maghreb hated arabs/well,still hate them/,and were once christians.Some tribes in 16th century still could be.
So,there is good chance then united Spain would use Berber as fifth column to conqer Maghreb.
There was/in early 16th century/ still christian kingdom in Sudan - but i do not knew,how much it could help Spain.

And, when they try find sea road to India, they could accidentally find Brasil,too.By the way - sea road to India made Egypt poor enough that Ottomans could conqer it in 1517 in OTL.
And in long term made Ottomans poor and break them economically.So, if anybody made that/sea road to India/ ,it means economical collapse of all states which in OTL belonged to Ottomans - including Trebizond.

The Berbers hated the Arabs because the latter looting and enslaved many of them. How long this lasted I don't know as there was a Berber speaking dynasty that surged into Iberia IIRC that helped hold back the Spanish reconquest somewhat so suspect you won't find many Christians there. If they are they may well not be that close to the Catholic church. However there might be some scope for divide and rule and getting at least some of the Berbers at least not strongly opposing the Iberian occupation of the region. However if there is a reformation happening that could well harden religious lines so that might be more difficult.

I'm not sure that the sea route to India was that significant in weakening the Marmalukes as that was only opened up about a decade before their OTL conquest But I could be wrong. However agree with the wider point that once the route is strong enough to carry a lot of traffic - and sea transport is a lot easier in bulk than by land - its bad economically for everybody in the ME region, including Trebizond. If they were to get back Anatolia and the straits they still have some wealthy lands and control trade through the Black sea but would be a significantly poorer power.
 
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stevep

Well-known member
Part XLIII: Peace? (1523--)

The end of the Middle Ages is most commonly dated to either 1453, with the fall of Constantinople to the Ottoman Empire[1], or 1523, with the death of Louis XII in battle and the resulting end of the War of the Three Leagues. The selection of the latter date is quite rational, as the War of the Three Leagues did mark a turning point in European history. Many of the war’s aftershocks--the Second Jacquerie, the Bauernkrieg, and the Great Saxon Rising--were inevitable before the war was even over, as the great losses in men and material that had been caused by the half-decade of war made increasing taxes on the already desperate peasantry a certainty. The sheer amount of death and destruction during and because of the war was by itself enough to close this chapter of history, but the longest-lasting effects of it would come with the treaties that ended it.

The House of Valois had a problem with male heirs, namely that there were very few. Through a string of diseases, unfortunate accidents and all-around bad luck, the once sprawling family tree had parsed down into a glorified shrub. For the first few years of his reign, Louis’ heir-apparent had been his cousin, Louis de Valois-Orleans[2], but his death in 1515 had shunted the title of crown prince off to his even more distant cousin, François d'Angoulême[3] who was in his early twenties and was married to Claude of Brittany, the scion of a family known for its fecundity. Surely, the succession was safe. But then Francois fell in battle against the Marians in 1520, and Claude miscarried a posthumous son, ending the male line of yet another Capetian cadet branch. This sparked a succession crisis, as the next eligible claimant to the throne was none other than Philip II of the Rhinemouths. Even as the war raged on in the north, there was a distinct possibility that it might all be ended by Philip inheriting the French throne. This period only lasted a year, however, and in 1521 Louis declared that no member of the House of Burgundy would be allowed to sit upon the French throne under any circumstances, and this was backed up by the hastily-assembled Estates General. With Philip disinherited, the position of next-in-line effectively became empty, while the next-in-line was tracked down. The House of Valois-Bourbon was essentially extinct in the male line, their only surviving legitimate man being Louis, the Bishop of Liege, who was rapidly approaching his eightieth birthday. The Bourbons had been the most fecund of the Valois cadet branches, but every other male member of the clan had fallen in battle during the war, a show of shocking misfortune. At long last, the archivists and genealogists managed to track down the closest surviving male relative of the Valois (other than Louis, of course); his tenth cousin twice removed, Charles d’Alençon. Charles was well-liked and had proven himself in battle against the Iberians, and so he was an excellent pick for heir-apparent. There was the slight problem that his wife was barren, but that could be worked out when they weren’t at war with the pope.

In February 1523, after Louis was finally killed in battle, Charles IX was swept onto the throne. Not clouded with pride and delusion like his cousin had been, the new king recognized that the war had been as good as lost since 1521. He sued for peace at once, hoping to end the foreign conflicts so he could turn his attention to dealing with the murderous, thieving hordes of militant peasants who were running around Poitou and Normandy. The Munsterians had similar problems of their own, the Bauernkrieg having begun in full force, and they were already on the verge of exhausting their collective funds. As such, they were agreeable to a peace conference. The Marians, meanwhile, were having a field day on the Lombard plains, and they stalled a ceasefire until they had managed to recover everything except Milan, so they had as strong a negotiational position as they possibly could. However, by the end of June 1523, all parties had agreed to a peace settlement, to be conducted in three different conferences (per se).

The first treaty was conducted between France and the Iberian states, in the Peace of Narbonne. Duarte was more or less satisfied with the bulk of his possessions on the southern side of the Pyrenees, but saw expansion northwards as an opportunity to create a valuable buffer zone between France and the lands he actually cared about. The Count of Rodez had also pledged his fealty, and the king felt pressured to protect him lest he appear unreliable and borderline traitorous to the rest of his vassals. Charles, for his part, just wanted a stable and neutral southern frontier so he could concentrate on internal affairs and not have to worry about raiders from the south further exacerbating problems. After a few days of negotiations, they came to an arrangement. The Viscounties of Bearn and Begore had previously been vassals of the Navarese crown, and so Charles ceded them to Duarte in his role as King of Navarre. The counties of Foix and Commiges would also be given over to Aragon, as well as Toulouse and the lands immediately surrounding it. Rodez would also be ceded to Aragon, but would remain as an exclave from the kingdom proper. No financial penalties would be imposed upon either party. This peace was agreeable to both monarchs, but it angered the French nobles, and Charles was nearly assassinated upon returning to Paris.

The next peace was concluded with the Munsterians. Edward had effectively pulled out of the conflict and was desperately trying to put down the Geraldine Rising in Ireland, which had succeeded in driving the English out of the island bar only Dublin and Cork, which were under siege as the diplomats spoke. The Rhinemouthers were on the verge of financial insolvency, having borrowed great sums of money from domestic bankers to support the war effort, and had suffered much damage from de Foix’s raids. The Munsterian states were also badly battered by their losses from the war and especially from the Great Raid of 1521, and Eric was only able to keep them working together with the promise of imminent victory. Bogislaw, meanwhile, had pulled back from the war as well, having to deal with the Bauernkrieg, which was the mother of all peasant revolts and was currently savagining Swabia and Thuringia. There was also the Lower Saxon Rising, which had been sparked by the French-aligned Duke of Brunswick fleeing from Imperial armies into Saxony, burning and looting as he went, which had driven the peasants to throw out their rightful rulers and establish independent republics and militia councils with the goal of local self-defence. This was intolerable to the feudal lords, and many of the princes of the Empire were threatening to elect an anti-emperor who would do something about the rebels if Bogislaw didn’t help them.

My point is, the Munsterians were on the verge of breaking themselves, and so they were hardly in a position to impose crushing terms against the French. Because of this, the changes in territory at the end of the war was surprisingly small. The Rhinemouthers would annex Picardy, which they had briefly held in a dynastic union twenty years beforehand, and Guise to the Rhinemouths proper, while the County of Rethel would be subject to the Duchy of Luxembourg, which was in personal union under Philip II. South-eastern Champagne would be annexed into the Duchy of Lorraine, while the Duchy of Bar would be broken off and given over to Bogislaw’s youngest son, Barnim[4]. There were also a number of fairly minor border arrangements, with several Munsterian states annexing a few castles or towns along the border. The Duchy of Brittany would also have its independence restored to it, with the complex chain of marriages and suspicious deaths that had once nearly brought it into personal union with France wound up placing Pedro de Navarre, former regent of Navarre, upon the Breton throne. Finally, an incredible amount of money would be paid to the Munsterians, equivalent to the total income of the French crown for a year, to be distributed amongst the states of the League ‘for the benefit of all’. Most of this money was taken by Philip to pay back his money-lenders, but enough made it to the smaller states to allow them to at least start paying down their debts. Such a large indemnity severely weakened the strength of both France at large and Charles himself, and the increased taxes needed to make up the balance and keep the state running merely exacerbated the ongoing peasant uprisings across France.

And, finally, there was the Treaty of Savona, conducted between France and the Marians in early 1524 after several months of tenuous negotiations. The Marians were doubtlessly victorious in the region, having effectively driven the French and their allies from the peninsula almost entirely on their own. Because of this, they were rather arrogant and, despite Hyginus’ best attempts at diplomacy, it was nearly impossible to establish internal agreement, which made presenting a united front towards the French, to say the least. At long last, the Pope was able to wrangle his supporters and met with Charles personally at Savona in August 1523.

Savona and Lombardy, as steadfast allies of the French, would be shown little mercy. Savona’s mainland territory would be halved, with Genoa being reclaimed by the Calvians[5] and everything east of Rapallo being annexed by Tuscany. However, they would be allowed to rebuild their fleet to as great extent as they pleased, and they kept most of their trading posts in the western Mediterranean, albeit because of logistical problems in transferring them to Calvi or Venice rather than any legitimate mercy. Hyginus would recognize Giovanni Comnini, who was elected as doge in 1525, as legitimate Lord of Savona a few weeks later, and the Savonese would join the Trinitarian Coalition against the barbaries a few years down the road. Naples would be officially recognized as the possession of the former Ferdinand III of Aragon, and in a later treaty between Duarte, Ferdinand and Hyginus, Sardinia, Sicily and the Balearic Islands would all be recognized as de jure territory of Naples, marking an effective reversal of the dynastic situation of previous centuries.

However, the most dramatic impact of the Treaty of Savona was in northern Italy itself. Lombardy, as both a kingdom and as a state, would be dismembered in its entirety. Venice would regain most of its pre-invasion territory along the Po plain, except for Mantua, which more than doubled its mainland holding with the stroke of a pen. That most of this region was a burned-out wreck of its former self, as was most of northern Italy by this point, does not seem to have bothered the Doge. The island fortress of Ile-du-Roi would be razed and its weapons distributed amongst the Marian states, with all of the Marian states agreeing to prevent the construction of any fortress here in the future, which would prevent the passage of vessels up the river. Modena would expand itself greatly, annexing Parma and Ferrara from Lombardy. By now, the region had been so devastated by the back-and-forth fighting that Ferrara was the only halfway decent city left, and so it became the capital of the newly-established Grand Duchy of the Four Cities. Urbino also gained new territories, being awarded the fortress city of Mantua in what was almost certainly a calculated effort to turn the Urbinians and the Modenese against each other and thus allow Hyginus to wield more influence over them both. The Tuscans would move their border further north, to the northern foothills of the Apennines, securing them a defensible frontier and a great deal of influence over the regions to their north. And, of course, new states were carved out of Lombardy. The Duchy of Savoy was returned to its exiled dynasty, stradling lands in both the lowlands of Italy, the Alps, and the lowlands of Provence. The Duchy of Alessandria was carved out around the city of the same name, its ruler being a friend of Hyginus named Alessandro Agostino Lascaris[6]. The Counties of Piacenza and Cremona were also established, once again around the cities of the same name, and were made the segnorities of Fredrico di Gonzago, the exiled descendant of the former Dukes of Mantua. More importantly as far as Hyginus was concerned, he had been one of his closest political allies in Rome and had helped in the defense of the city against the army of the Borgias. The city of Como, Hyginus’ former residence during his time as a cardinal, was annexed into the Papal States, while Avignon and Benevento were restored to Roman control. Finally, the remnant of the Kingdom of Lombardy was formerly reduced to the Duchy of Milan, and Massimiliano Sforza, the son of the last native duke, was restored to the Milanese throne.

The Duchy of Provence would also be raised to a state in personal union with France, rather than an integral part of it as it had been before. This had little immediate impact, but Hyginus intended for it to complicate the relations between the two states and turn it into a quagmire that would reduce its value as a staging point. No money would change hands, however, as Hyginus sensed the financial weakness of the French monarchy and feared that destabilizing it would only worsen the ongoing crisis, a fear that had far more justification than he knew. Finally, on the far side of the Adriatic, the secondary Epirote theater of the war was also brought to a close at Savona. The Epirotes had been a Neapolitan protectorate before the war, and upon the outbreak of the war they had been attacked by the Venetians and the Venetian-allied Albanians and Moreotes. When the war in Naples had spiraled out into civil war, Epirus too had collapsed into civil war between the French-aligned Carlo III and the Aragonese-aligned Ferrante. Ferrante had triumphed after receiving support from the Venetians, but he was a puppet of the Serene Republic because of it. The Venetians would annex Vonitsa, Preveza and all the islands of the region, while the Albanians would seize everything north of Ottoman-held Sarandoz and the Moreotes would annex Missolonghi and the lands around the Aitoliko lagoon.

While the War of the Three Leagues was over, a time of great strife had only just begun. Central France and much of Germany[7] were consumed by revolts as hungry and angry peasants rose up against their oppressors in hopes of ending centuries of oppression. In the east, Hungary, Austria and Serbia had all been devastated by a long-running civil war between the newly-ascended Ladislaus V and his brother Janos[8], the prosperity of the Raven’s reign wiped away in a few scant years. Across Europe, many thousands lay dead from hunger and hundreds of thousands struggled to survive, their lands and homes wrecked by the shadow of war or raids from neighboring states. With the chief maritime powers of the Mediterranean engaged in a death-struggle, the barbary corsairs had had a field day, ravaging the coasts of the western Mediterranean and enslaving thousands. The common people of Europe were tired, desperate and disillusioned, having watched their sons and brothers march to their deaths for the sake of some petty noblemen. The fires of revolt burned across much of the region, but it was only with the publication of the 67 Articles of Ulrich Zwingli that these fires would rise into an all-consuming inferno….

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[1] The Hundred Year’s War ended in 1458 ITTL, so there is far less impetus for 1453 to be considered the close of the era. The survival of the Moreotes and Trapezuntines also weakens the argument that it ended the Byzantine Empire, so the Fall of Constantiople, while still significant, isn’t as important.
[2] OTL’s Louis XII
[3] OTL Francis I. I’m using the modern form of his name here, btw, he wrote his name ‘Francoys’.
[4] The succession laws of Pomerania dictated that each son would receive an equal amount of their father’s land unless they were awarded appenages before his death. Bogislaw intended his eldest son, Kasmir/Conrad to succeed him as Duke of Pomerania and Brunswick and Anna as Duke of Brandenburg, and so gave appenages to his other three sons; Georg, his second son, became Duke of Anhalt, and his fourth son, Otto, became Burgrave of Donha.
[5] Genoa was by now so thoroughly wrecked by five subsequent battles during the War of the Three Leagues that it was effectively useless, and Calvi remained the capital of the republic. It is likely that Hyginus advocated this in hopes of further involving Calvi in mainland affairs, so that he could use it as a counterbalance against the Venetians.
[6] Alessandrio is a female-line descendant of Ioannes Vatatzes, but still used the prestigious Lascaris surname because, after all, who was going to stop him? Vatatzes’ ghost?
[7] The Bundschuh Movement occurred as in OTL, but the spark of the Bauernkrieg was not Luther’s writing as in OTL but rather several years of drought and famine that exacerbated the already tyrannical tax systems of the Carinthian lords. Joss Fritz and his peasant army kicked off the Bauernkrieg proper with their sack of Heidelberg in 1519, and since then a mixture of insurgencies and outright revolts have crippled central and southern Germany, with no signs of stopping. The Second Jacquerie began when the self-defense groups that had been organized to drive off the Munsterian raiders in central France were attacked by their own lords, who feared organized peasants more than they did enemy raiders.
[8] They had a civil war off camera, I couldn’t work myself up to actually make an update for a periphery conflict after spending so much time writing and rewriting the sections on the War of the Three Leagues.

Eparkhos

Well that was messy but could have been worse and by the sound of it is going to get so. I wasn't expecting a reformation this soon with what seems to be a reforming Pope but with so much devastation and chaos something is developing and be interesting to see how closely Zwingli's articles match those of Luther's. At least he does have less points with only 67 compared to Luther's 95.

I was a bit disappointed with England not possibly 'regaining' some territory but it was a miserable war for us anyway. The 1st army and fleet destroyed in a storm, the 2nd defeated in battle and then another revolt in Ireland meaning no significant role in the peace. Of course with its own lands relatively secure and unaffected by the war England is better off than many of the combatants. Be interesting to see how things develop here, especially with the oncoming reformation.

Did considered reading the 1st part that Philip II might seek to contest his disinheritance from the French throne. However fiscal exhaustion and the damage of the war and resulting peasant unrest makes his gains fairly small, although significant. This could still mean problems later on however as two foreign houses, of Plantagenet and Burgundy, have theoretical claims on the French throne. Given your comment about an independent Aquitaine re-emerging it sounds like there are further interesting times ahead for the population of France.

The big winner seems to be Duerte/Duarte who has all of Iberia united, as well as a foothold across the Alps and France removed as a potential threat for the near future. I suspect the independent Aquitaine might be something he's at least partly responsible for as it gives another buffer to the north. With his lands largely not plundered, other than parts of Aragon, he's now free, probably with Papal support from the comment about the Trinitarian Coalition, to suppress the Barbary pirates and take the crusade against Islam to the Maghreb. Especially with no external aid for the Muslims from further east. It could mean some losses in the medium term as Iberia [OTL Spain and Portugal] could be late to the New World and its riches but a few centuries down the line that could even be an advantage for them. The only issue for him might be a resentful Ferdinand who has a wealthy kingdom in Naples and its other possessions.

Anyway a deep and tangled situation and we're spent is it 4 or 5 chapters now away from the empire in the east which was just marching off to war with the Ottomans if I recall. :)

Steve
 

ATP

Well-known member
One question - is Brittany independent now,or part of France ? becouse independent Brittany would either try alliance with Ireland,or England.Not Scotland,they have their french allies.

P.S Luder succed only becouse german princes helped him.Zwingli would not survive without at least one strong ruler supporting him.And since best swiss soldier remained catholics,he would not have chances to survive only thanks to Swiss troops.
Protestants also was against peasant and hunted them as much as catholics - so no help from them,too.If anything,all peasant uprising in OTL was actually anti protestants - becouse peasants get help from monasteries,till protestants stealed them.
 
Part XLIV: Balışeyh’s Nightmare (1514-1519)

Eparkhos

Well-known member
Short on time, comments later

Part XLIV: Balışeyh’s Nightmare (1514-1519)

In the closing years of the 13th Century, Osman had ridden alongside a Sufi mystic by the name of Balışeyh, sometimes rendered as Sheikh Edebali. Balışeyh was an Arab exile and a strong mystic, who served as advisor to both Osman and his father Ertuğurul due to his great wisdom and frequent prophetic visions. It was he who gave Osman his famous ghazi sword when he was still in his teens, and it was by marriage to his daughter that the Osmanlis laid claim to the title of sayyid, or descendant of Mohammed[1]. He famously wrote a poem of advice to his son-in-law, promising him that he and his descendants would enjoy great success if they followed his precepts. If, he said, they obeyed the commands which had been given to him in a dream, then they would be forever prosperous. By 1520, it was evident that he had lied. After seven years of civil war--an inauspicious number, as well--Rumelia had been devastated and most of Anatolia had been lost to the Karamanids or the Trapezuntines. The struggle between Mehmed III and Ebülhayr Paşa had killed hundreds of thousands of the Sublime Porte’s subjects through the sword or through famine or disease. A fratricidal war of the kind not seen in over a century had descended upon Osman’s Empire, and they were incalculably worse off for it.

After a series of bloody battles, the sultan and his army had appeared to be on the verge of taking Constantinople in September 1514, having pinned the grand vizier’s army against the Black Sea in northern Rumelia and with no army between him and the capital. However, his madcap rush to the Queen of Cities had proven to be almost pointless, as by the time he reached it Ebülhayr Paşa had managed to sealift his army to the capital and reinforce with some of the many Greek militias which had popped up to oppose the ravages of Mehmed’s outriders, making a direct assault on the city impossible without fighting a pitched battle. Given how late it was in the campaign season, Mehmed decided his best option was to pull back and try and entice Ebülhayr Paşa and his army into an attack on unfavorable terrain. As winter was rapidly approaching and they would have nothing to fall back upon, he was certain that if he could force them to battle, then the capital would be his within the year. As such, he began a harassing retreat across Thrake, hoping to provoke the grand vizier into pursuing him. However, Ebülhayr Paşa recognized this as the poorly-executed trap that it was and remained firm, advancing only as far as the Anastasian Long Walls[2] and instead directing his irregulars beyond to harass Mehmed’s army. The continuous harassment gradually wore down the sultan’s army, as the waylaying of outriders and foraging and supply forces severely limited his ability to feed his army. By mid-October, the sultan had halted at Tekirdağ and was appraising his options in regard to the army between him and the capital, all while the irregulars continuously ground down his supply lines. Indeed, his supply problems were exacerbated by his very methods of collecting them, as he had pillaged much of this region for food in his march towards the capital, and was now having trouble scrounging up enough food to feed his men, let alone his camp followers. After a few weeks of deliberation, he broke camp and retreated north-west across Thrake, hoping to return to the friendly country in Upper Rumelia before winter set in.

He wouldn’t be so lucky. With his force slowed down by having to individually or unicially forage, his army moved quite slowly, even for the quagmire-esque movement speeds of the 16th century. He reached Edirne, which was itself already fairly taxed, in mid-November, by which point the snow had already begun. Neither he nor anyone else alive at that time could know it, but the winter of 1515-1515 would be the coldest in thirty years, comparable to winter which had so shredded Mehmed’s father’s army outside of Trapezous. Over the following weeks, he would lose thousands of soldiers and camp followers to the cold, hunger and diseases which were exacerbated by the former two. The retreat of the sultan’s army from Edirne to Philippoupoli would leave a trail of corpses both human and horse behind it, as stragglers who fell were left for dead rather than encumbering the already worn-down army. Mehmed himself had to tie himself to the saddle to keep from collapsing, and many officers were among the fallen. By the time that the formerly great host reached safety in the fairly quiet Upper Evros Valley, the sultan’s men had dwindled from 20,000 back in September to 10,000 ragged and exhausted soldiers, none of whom were fit for battle.

The Paşa’s men, meanwhile, while short on supplies due to the difficulties in keeping the capital fed and the loss of the granaries of Bithynia due to the Turkmen invasion and the Greek rising there, were in far better condition than their counterparts. Once the snows had melted in April, the grand vizier departed the eastern edge of Thrake with some 15,000, hoping to crush the sultan’s forces while they were still weak. Edirne surrendered without a fight, returning the former capital to the rule of the current capital, and Mehmed was forced to accelerate his hurried resupply around Philippopuli to avoid being caught out on the open plains, where he would surely be crushed. He withdrew to Sofiya, but was unable to fortify the passes eastward before the vizier arrived. Ebülhayr Paşa then skewered[3] the sultan by marshalling his army eastward of Philippoupoli, from which it could go east to capture Sofiya or north to attack the Bulgarian plain with equal ease, making sure that one would fall even if the other was saved. Mehmed was by this point nearly in full retreat, and decided that the Turkish-dominated plains of Bulgaria was more valuable and gave him more room to retreat than the hills and passes around Sofiya would, and so he turned north in June 1515, giving over the regional center to the Paşa’s forces.

Once in Bulgaria, Mehmed scrambled to replenish his army. Given the rather oppressive manner of Turkish rule in the region, he could only raise so many of the Turkish soldiers who lived there, which essentially halved his already small manpower pool. In spite of these handicaps, he was able to raise another 10,000 men of varying quality, which raised his force to some 20,000 strong. However, the Danubians continued to raid against him in force and he was forced to defend several of the border cities lest they gain a foothold on the southern bank, which would pose a serious threat to overall Ottoman rule in the region, which further wore down his limited numbers. Meanwhile, Ebülhayr Paşa continued to move against Mehmed with his full strength, preparing for the killing blow by cordoning off the exits and entrances to the Bulgarian plain, where he hoped to trap his rival and ultimately destroy him. He mustered some 30,000 men to enclose the northern half of the Balkan Peninsula, and was confident that victory could be achieved the following campaign season if he spent the intervening time training and drilling his men so they could match the quality of Mehmed’s professional soldiers. He bribed the Danubians into continuing their assault on Bulgaria, which the voivodes were more than happy to do regardless of their payment.

In the spring of 1516, Ebülhayr Paşa launched his invasion of Bulgaria, striking with three armies: his own, from Sofiya, another from Haskovo directly over the mountains and a third, smaller force via Varna on the Black Sea coast. Mehmed was caught off guard, having been occupied with the constant raids and harassment and had been in the process of mustering and expanding his new army. Ebülhayr Paşa struck quickly and fiercely, driving the minor forces of the sultan back in all directions and securing more than a dozen fortresses along the periphery. While he was able to defeat the Gabrovo force at the Battle of Tarnovo in May, he recognized that the situation was rapidly getting out of hand as the vizier’s army pressed in from the east and west. After some desperate calculations, he decided that Bulgaria could not be adequately defended and that his best option was to try and break out from the noose that was rapidly cinching around his neck. He mustered every last man he could--some total 18,000--and crossed the mountains in the same direction as the Gabrovo force had come. He feinted towards Constantinople, then discerned that it was too well-secured to be taken, and turned about to go westwards. He raced westward along the coast, gathering men from the Vlach and Turkmen bands of the Rhodopes, before swinging north along the Struma, successfully juking out a Paşist army that was marching from Salonika to try and intercept him. Ebülhayr Paşa and his lieutenants were left reeling, struggling to even trace the manic path which the sultan had taken, let alone pursue him. By October, the sultan and his army had managed to reach Okhrid, near the Albanian border. This region had been settled by many Turkmen and Seljuks as a military frontier against the militantly independent Albanians, and so Mehmed was able to gather many more reinforcements from the border zone, as well as hiring several hundred Albanian mercenaries[4].

Another harsh winter set in, and this time the shoe was on the other foot. Ebülhayr Paşa had rushed his armies across the Balkans in hopes of catching the Sultan before he could receive reinforcements and/or resupply, even going so far as to pull soldiers out of Bithynia to join his men in Europe, and because of this his armies were strung out across the peninsula when winter began. Ebülhayr Paşa was left to try and coordinate the establishment of winter camps and supply chains stretching across multiple provinces, which kept him distracted by itself. Because of the many different positions they were camped in and the many different commanders who were in charge of the formations--which ranged in strength from a few dozen horsemen to armies of thousands--the grand vizier was soon pulling his hair out trying to deal with the supply situation, all the while his men were dying to cold and hunger while the sultan’s men were fine.

With the Paşist forces thus reduced, it was Mehmed’s turn to take the offensive in the spring of 1517. He quickly recovered most of OTL Macedonia, defeating an advance force at Bitola in May and inflicting heavy losses. In the following weeks, he would raise more men from across the region, reluctantly allowing Serbs and Bulgarians to take up arms to reinforce his understrength host. He defeated several more enemy armies between April in July, having numerical or terrain superiority every time. Little did he know it, but these were not overeager Paşist forces but instead probing movements by Ebülhayr Paşa. Mehmed quickly grew overconfident, emboldened by these repeated victories over inferior hosts, and began pushing down the Axios Valley, taking Veles, Prilep and Strumica with little opposition and defeating another one of Ebülhayr Paşa’s probing forces on 25 May. The sultan and his men were confident, buoyed by their string of victories and the support of many of the region’s imams and ulema[5], and on the other side the grand vizier’s men, having now reassembled into one unified host at Salonika, were filled with determination knowing that the future of their rights and their families would ride upon their martial abilities in the coming weeks. It should also be noted that Ebülhayr Paşa had a better supply situation, as he was not forced to draw upon local resources and could remain supplied with food and goods brought into the city by ship, while Mehmed was forced to rely upon his typical pattern of ravaging and pillaging foraging.

The two hosts met at the Battle of the Bloody Gorge. The Axios River slowed to pass through a narrow gorge in the mountains that separated Macedonia and the plains around Salonika, and it was here that Ebülhayr Paşa lay in wait for the sultan with a force of some 18,000 men, knowing that the second city of Europe must not fall to the sultan, or all of the Balkans would be lost with it. Mehmed, meanwhile, approached from the north with a host of 22,000 men, unsure of the grand vizier’s exact position but knowing that he must be close at hand. The sultan’s scouts met the Paşa’s army on 24 July, by which time he had thoroughly resolved to press on until he had reached the city. Two days later, battle was joined.

Mehmed was aware that the vizier’s forces would be dug in on defensible terrain under what were probably the pest possible conditions for defense, and resolved not to waste the lives of his men on futile assaults. As such, he had them advance under the cover of darkness and dig trenches of their own, from which they would begin peppering the vizier’s forces at a distance with bows, arquebuses and javelins. He also gave orders for cannonade to be hauled up the side of the valley to fire down onto enemy lines. This trench fire did little damage, but it infuriated many of the Paşa’s men, who were unable to fire back given the position of the enemy. Ebülhayr Paşa was able to keep any of his men from rushing out to attack the enemy for several hours, but shortly after noon some of them finally lost it and charged, meeting a wall of spears raged from behind Mehmed’s line and either being killed then and there or being summarily executed by more disciplined soldiers when they fell back to their lines. Sensing weakness, Mehmed then ordered his artillery to open fire, sending hot lead and stone hurtling down into the valley below. The bombardment shot up much of the advance positions of the vizier’s forces, and many of the front ranks of men lost their nerve and tried to pull back, which quickly turned into a quagmire as they ran into the units behind them, in some cases fighting breaking out between the two units. The presence of these runners prevented the orderly ranks of Ebülhayr Paşa’s men from responding to the bombardment with their own bows and arquebuses, and soon the entire front of the army was thrown into chaos. The sultan then roused his men from the trenches and charged, heavily-armored timariots leading the way and absorbing most of the attacks, a wall of armed men at their backs. It was an utter massacre, as the vizier’s men were almost completely unable to turn and fight their attackers and so were cut down in great numbers, the sheer number of blood spilling across the ground and the glowing red of the sunset turning the entire gorge into a scarlet hell. Ebülhayr Paşa was barely able to disengage with great difficulty, and he was only to extricate about half of his force from what had once been his trap, leaving the rest to die or surrender. Mehmed had decisively carried the day, losing only 3,000 of his own men to the Paşa’s 8,000. More importantly, his force retained a great deal of its cohesion, unlike the vizier’s army, which had lost most of its officers, noble and commoner alike.

Ebülhayr Paşa was forced to hastily retreat back to Salonika, where he once again made good use of his naval superiority to evacuate his army and as many Salonikans as possible, which he hoped would help extend any future siege for as long as was logistically possible. Mehmed, meanwhile, advanced directly on the great port, hoping to take it while its defenders were demoralized after their recent defeat. He would lay siege to the town for the next eight months, putting its walls and defenders under near-constant bombardment but would ultimately fail to break through thanks to the valiant and desperate defense by the city’s Greek residents, who feared the fate that had been visited upon so many of their fellows years earlier in Thrake. A Greek Muslim named Isaakios Raoulles would distinguish himself in battle, taking over command of the defenders after their eparkhos was killed and helping to keep the front against the invaders firm. They were kept supplied by sea, as Ebülhayr Paşa put practically everything he had into keeping the crucial port afloat, commandeering merchantmen and even fishing vessels from across the Aegean and beyond to bring in food and soldiers and evacuate civilians who were unable to fight. Mehmed began leading assaults, hoping to inspire his men into the final push that he knew was needed to take Salonika. It would be here, on 3 March 1518, that he would be killed by a stray bullet, shot out of his saddle by one of his own men.

After Mehmed’s death, the pro-Turkish cause shattered due to disputes about leadership, purity of movement and other such trivial matters. With his enemies divided, the grand vizier would be able to defeat them piecemeal in a grueling year-and-a-half long campaign that was fought in both the Balkans and in Anatolia. He was forced to use mercenaries to prevent a famine from breaking out, as many of their soldiers had been away from their homes for so long they were struggling to continue farming. Despite this and numerous other financial problems, Ebülhayr Paşa’s right-hand man, İbrahim Paşa, would defeat the last major Mehmedist army at the Battle of Balikesir in May 1520, killing Malkoçoğlu Bali Bey in combat and putting an end to the seven-year-plus civil war. The Ottoman Empire had been utterly gutted and sapped of practically anything of value, but Ebülhayr Paşa had prevailed over the upstart prince, confirming that the future of the state would not be an oversized ghazi beylik dominated only by Turks but a recreation of the old Byzantine Ways by Muslim Greeks and Slavs….

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[1] More specifically, he was a relative of Mohammed, descended from the prophet via one of his male cousins rather than through Fatimah. In OTL, this tenuous link would be what allowed the Ottomans to claim the caliphal throne from the Cairo Abbasids, which has led some historians to suggest that it was fabricated to legitimize this seizure.
[2] The Anastasian Long Walls were a series of defensive walls that were constructed by the emperor Anastasius I in the 5th Century to protect Constantinople from Slavic raids. They had declined seriously since then thanks to a millennium of neglect and had been heavily cannibalized before they were refurbished by Angelović Paşa during the 1470s as a final line of defense in case a Crusader army got across the mountains.
[3] This is a chess term which I am applying to real life; the grand vizier did not physically run the sultan through with a skewer.
[4] The constant civil wars in Albania meant that there were always a number of mercenaries floating around the Balkans, making Albanian mercenaries a recurring element in this period’s history.
[5] Mehmed’s proclamation of jihad had been ignored by pretty much everyone except for a few friendly clergymen, who he of course kept around his army to inspire the men.
 

stevep

Well-known member
Well that's pretty much gutted what was already left of the Ottoman empire. Presuming that Ebülhayr Paşa will become the new emperor but will he give it a different name? Its also given the Trebizond empire time to try and secure what it can in Anatolia and prepare itself for the potential storm. If he has any strength left Ebülhayr will no doubt want to 'regain' the Anatolian lands, especially as the western ones are probably the richest in the region. Although I can see raids by multiple neighbours scenting blood causing continued problems for him.

It also sounds like the nature of this empire has changed, being predominantly Greek-Balkan rather than Turkic although many have converted to Islam. That will make it interesting as to what the identity of the new state will be.

Trebizond might also have problems with their nominal overlords - forget whether it was the white or black sheep tribe that won. :( Their a very powerful state IIRC, but might not be happy with one of their subjects gaining so much territory and resources. Especially as it has an historical claim to much of the lands they rule.

Anyway looking forward to seeing what is happening 'back home' so to speak.

Steve
 

ATP

Well-known member
Vizir should add Bulgars,too.Considering how low they fallen,they would be happy for anything.
 

Eparkhos

Well-known member
Well that's pretty much gutted what was already left of the Ottoman empire. Presuming that Ebülhayr Paşa will become the new emperor but will he give it a different name? Its also given the Trebizond empire time to try and secure what it can in Anatolia and prepare itself for the potential storm. If he has any strength left Ebülhayr will no doubt want to 'regain' the Anatolian lands, especially as the western ones are probably the richest in the region. Although I can see raids by multiple neighbours scenting blood causing continued problems for him.

It also sounds like the nature of this empire has changed, being predominantly Greek-Balkan rather than Turkic although many have converted to Islam. That will make it interesting as to what the identity of the new state will be.

Trebizond might also have problems with their nominal overlords - forget whether it was the white or black sheep tribe that won. :( Their a very powerful state IIRC, but might not be happy with one of their subjects gaining so much territory and resources. Especially as it has an historical claim to much of the lands they rule.

Anyway looking forward to seeing what is happening 'back home' so to speak.

Steve
We'll get back to Trapezous soon, but matters in the Balkans will be wound up soon. The Ottomans are indeed more Greek/Bulgar than Turkish now.
Vizir should add Bulgars,too.Considering how low they fallen,they would be happy for anything.
 
Part XLV: An Overview of the Balkans (1500-1520)

Eparkhos

Well-known member
Part XLV: An Overview of the Balkans (1500-1520)

The Balkan Peninsula in 1520 was radically changed from what it had been a mere two decades before. The Ottoman Empire, which had once dominated the region and projected power far beyond its geographical limits, had been severely reduced by a bloody civil war between the sultan and his vizier, and was essentially ripe for the picking for any power strong enough to take advantage. The Moreotes, previously beset by corruption and internal strife, had managed to reform and were now in a much stronger possession both internally and externally, having defeated the Thessalians in a regional conflict, effectively switching the positions of the two rival states. The Venetians, who had once seemed to be on the verge of being driven from the region, had consolidated their Italian holdings and now were ready to face down the Turks once again. Albania had managed to finally reunify under Jozë the Great, while Epirus is a Moreote vassal in all but name. The Danubian principalities threw off the Ottoman yoke during the civil war, and now are unified under Moldovan rule, presenting a united front against their enemies to both the north and south. Finally, the Hungarians and Serbs loom over the Peninsula, seemingly ready to drive the Turks from Europe for once and for all.

The largest and most devastating of the conflicts which had wracked the Balkans during the first two decades of the 16th Century was the Second Ottoman Civil War, fought over the increasing power of Greek Muslims within the imperial chancellery and pitting the sultan and his grand vizier against each other. After six years of bloody war, the grand vizier had emerged victorious after Mehmed III fell in battle trying to storm the walls of Salonika; it was a Pyrrhic victory. In Europe, where the bulk of the conflict was fought, the constant marching of armies had caused waves of famines and disease outbreaks to ravage the countryside, in addition to the hundreds of Greek villages that had been massacred by the Turks, and vice versa. Nearly a million people were dead, a benchmark that would be hit and eclipsed by the anti-Turk purges that would follow the conflict, as the vengeful Greek militias slew any Turk they found. Not only did this devastate the imperial bureaucracy by killing hundreds of thousands of tax payers and potential recruits, it also caused a massive refugee problem. Turks and Turkmen fleeing reprisal killings stampeded across the Epirote and Albanian borders, while waves of Greeks fled south into Thessalia or sailed across the Aegean to safety in the Morea or in Venetian-held islands and thousands of Slavs fled into Hungarian Serbia or crossed the Danube into Wallachian and Moldovan territory. These population movements would have long-lasting impacts, but none of them were more immediately apparent than the territorial changes which had occurred during the national schism. The Greeks of Bithynia had risen up and, with the help of the Trapezuntines, proclaimed the restoration of the Empire of Nikaia, which subsequently entered into personal union with the aforementioned Greek empire. The Neo-Rûmites[1] had overrun most of Ottoman Anatolia and driven the Turkmen who lived there into eastward exile, while the minor Greek states had expanded inland at the expense of the Sublime Porte. Ebülhayr Paşa was unable to reverse any of these losses given the weakened state of his, I mean Mustafa III’s, realm, and so could do little but glare ominously at the western states.

In the far south of the peninsula, the Palaiologian Empire had finally righted itself after decades of decline. The Despotate of Morea had suffered from many of the problems which had beset and ultimately caused the downfall of the late Byzantine Empire, which had nearly caused the statelet to fall itself. Throughout the 15th Century, it had been beset by revolts by the overtaxed peasantry, the undertaxed nobility and the overpaid Albanian mercenaries who made up a large portion of the despot’s army. It was only with the ascension of Andronikos I in 1512 that these issues would be done away with. Andronikos correctly identified the source of so many of his realm’s problems, namely that the nobility paid next to nothing in taxes, and resolved to move against this issue so that it would not hamper the Despotate’s future. At this time, the nobility were divided into three groups: the Latins, who were feudal vassals of Mystras in every sense of the word; the Old Pronoiai, descendants of the Greeks who had helped reconquer the peninsula from the Latins and who were usually the most loyal; and the New Pronoiai, who were the descendants of the horde of refugees, many of them nobility, who had poured into the region after the Fall of Constantinople. Over the following years, Andronikos would turn the New Pronoiai against the other two by advancing them domestically and in court at the expense of the others, which soon made them the object of much resentment by the other two groups. Then, in 1514, when he ‘discovered’ a plot against him by the New Pronoiai, the Latins and the Old Pronoiai were more than willing to help him reduce the New Pronoiai, who were almost universally stripped of their titles and land. That these lands and titles were not given to the old nobility but instead to lowborn loyalists went mostly unnoticed. He then did the same with the Latins, only to similarly abandon them in 1518 on the pretext of ‘collusion with the Epirotes’, who held a similar heritage and more importantly were hostile to Mystras due to the events of the War of the Three Leagues. With the nobility thus either crushed or significantly reduced in power and number, he was able to reform the Despotate’ bureaucracy and institute a more balanced tax system, which relieved the burden on many of the perioikoi and allowed the army and navy to be expanded.

Of course, he had not been completely focused on domestic policies. He had also taken the field against the Thessalians in 1513, while their overlords were busy with their civil war. The Thessalians, ruled by Ioannes II, had neglected everything martial except their southern border defenses on the presumption that no-one would be willing to risk the wrath of the Sublime Porte over something so minor as Thessaly. As such, they were caught completely flat-footed when Andronikos led an army of some 7,000 men across the border in the spring of 1513 and blew a hole the size of a small city through their akritai. Before Ioannes could muster a response force, the Moreotes had advanced as far as Lamia, which they quickly reduced with a series of artillery barrages. The two despots met at the field of Philiadona a few weeks later, where the Moreotes outnumbered the Thessalians by two thousand men. The resulting battle was decidedly one-sided, as the Thessalian left routed and fled the field before they had even joined melee with the Moreotes, and were followed by most of the army, which was swiftly ridden down and captured by Andronikos; among the captured was Despot Ioannes. Out of a sense of Christian charity (and the desire to not provoke the Ottomans should they manage to pull out of their death spiral) Andronikos only annexed all of Boeotia and Phthotis, instead choosing to impose a crippling amount of tribute payments on the Thessalians to keep them from rebuilding enough to threaten him. He then retired back to Mystras, leaving his cousin Konstantinos to oversee the integration of the new conquests. He also participated in the War of the Three Leagues’ Epirote theater, annexing several villages along the coast after capturing them without a fight.

Further north, Albania had, of all things, stabilized. The massive (comparatively) civil wars which had wracked the small principality since the death of Skanderbeg in the 1460s had prevented Albania from advancing beyond anything other than its lowly state as a Venetian vassal. The many, many noble houses which had been unified by the great Kastoriti had immediately collapsed into infighting, turning Albania from a principality into a confederation of warring fiefdoms that happened to share the same name. More than two dozen kings from a dozen different houses had reigned during the fifty-year-long period of anarchy, and none of them had been able to control the entirety of the small but mountainous entity. The savior of Albania would not come from one of the noble houses but instead from the lowest ranks of society.

Jozë Shkozë[2] was born to a Greek slave woman and an Albanian tenant farmer along the Ottoman border in 1488, a situation that must have seemed like it couldn’t have gotten worse. Then Jozë was kidnapped by Turkish slavers in 1502, almost certainly to wind up dead or slaving away in some far-flung part of the empire. Instead, he managed to escape somewhere in the wilds of Thrake and, with nowhere else to go, managed to lie his way into the Ottoman army. He advanced rapidly through the ranks of the army, proving to have a natural talent for war. He would fight in Ebülhayr Paşa’s campaigns against Epirus and the border wars with the Danubian Principalities and the Karamanids, eventually working his way up to the commander of a unit of two hundred akinji cavalry[3] stationed on the eastern frontier. With the outbreak of the civil war, Shkozë and his men were transferred westward where they spent several years fighting Mehmedist forces in the Albanian borderlands. In 1516, when fighting suddenly shifted westwards, Shkozë was able to convince his and another unit of akinji to desert across the border. Returning to his old haunts, he saw an opportunity to take power in the anarchic Albania. He would ally with Gjon Zevisi, who ruled much of the south, and with their help he would conquer the other Albanian statelets in a four-year-long lightning campaign. By making common cause with many of the minor noble families and local monasteries, he was able to break the power of the major families and remove the threat they posed to his rule. In 1520, he inherited Zenevisi’s lands through marriage to his daughter, an intelligent and capable woman named Afërdita, and finally felt secure enough to proclaim himself Prince of Albania, his capital at Berat.

And, finally, there is Hungary. Once the Christian bulwark of the east, the union of the three kingdoms has fallen upon hard times as of late. No-one with eyes and half a brain could deny that Matthew the Raven was one of the greatest kings of his time, but the succession that he left behind upon his death in 1508 was anything but. He had spent much of his reign involved in centralizing efforts that had steadily eroded the power of the nobility across all three of his kingdoms, but he had failed to take into account that many of the magnates would have a grudge against him when he named his like minded eldest son, Ladislaus VII, as his heir and successor. When Ladislaus took the throne in his own right, his supposed illegitimacy--recall that it was he who was born scant months after the end of Alexandros II of Trapezous’ time in Esztergom--as well as his youth and inexperience made him the target of a conspiracy to elevate Julius Hunyadi, a distant cousin of Ladislaus’, to the throne. When word of this conspiracy reached the king, he attempted to have all of the plotters arrested, but this leaked and several of them were able to escape his grasp. Julius was one of them, and the resulting civil war lasted for three years.

Croatia and Serbia backed Julius the most ardently, as he was an experienced commander and they wished for a strong soldier-king to protect them from the Ottomans, who still loomed large at the time. Because of this, the thick of the fighting took place in Lower Hungary, which like the Ottoman Balkans later would be devastated because of the back-and-forth of armies across its fields. While Ladislaus held the advantage at the beginning of the conflict because of the support of Hungary proper, many of the magnates would defect over to Julius as time wore on. The death blow for the king would come with the defection of the majority of the Black Army to Julius in 1511, as many of their captains believed he would be a better ruler and better paymaster. Recognizing that victory was now beyond his grasp, Ladislaus made preparations to flee with the remnants of the Black Army. He set fire to Eszetergom and Pest as a final act of defiance before withdrawing eastward into Austria, which was still part of the Holy Roman Empire. He appealed to Bogislaw to protect him, his vassal, from the predations of a foreign king, i.e. Julius, and Bogislaw, who had long been troubled by the influence the Hungarians wielded in the region, agreed. Julius was warned away from Austria, and ultimately concluded it wasn’t worth risking his crowns for and halted at the border.

In the following years, Julius would turn his attention southwards, towards the Ottoman holdings in the Balkans. He did not intervene directly during the civil war, as he feared that the warring factions would come together to drive out the foreign invader, but instead spent the time winning the Balkan principalities to his cause, as they too hated the Turks. Several of the other rulers were eager to join battle immediately, but Julius advised caution--both because of fears of Turkish solidarity and because of his own need to deal with the restive magnate sin Hungary who felt that since they had brought him to the throne, he ought to be beholden to them. He hoped to emulate John I’s invasion of the Balkans with the (First) Holy League, and so reached out to many of the other Balkan rulers. The Venetians and Epirotes were busy, for obvious reasons, but the Albanians, newly reunited under Shkozë, and the Moreotes, under Andronikos, were both willing to take up the sword. Moldova, under the skilled and widely-known prince Bogdan the Blind, was in from the start, as he wished to undo the insulting tribute which the Turks had once levied upon his state. The last thing he wished to acquire--a Papal bull of crusade--was short in coming, however. Hyginus was occupied with events in Italy and felt that promulgating such a crusade could weaken his position at a crucial moment by sending the most devout of his followers to die in the Balkans. As such, he did not actually call for a crusade but instead sent a missive allowing Julius to proclaim a crusade himself. In March 1521, the Hungarian king did so, marking the beginning of the War of the Second Holy League.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
[1] The Karamanid bey Bayezid II had proclaimed the restoration of the Sultanate of Rûm in 1502, taking the regnal name Kayqubad IV.
[2] This is one of the names proposed as the birth name of Mimar Sinan, a fairly prominent Ottoman general of probably Albanian descent. Whether or not he was an Albanian is unknown--his birth ethnicity is speculated to be everything from Armenian to Greek to Turkish to Albanian--but the argument for Albanianism is the one which I find most convincing.
[3] Akinji were Ottoman light cavalry, primarily used for scouting and gathering supplies.
 

stevep

Well-known member
Well that sounds like the final death knell for the Ottoman empire. Already gravely weakened its to be attacked by just about all its neighbours. Of course one big issue if it does fall is who ends up with that insignificant settlement on the Bosporus? ;) Can't help thinking there are two families with an hereditary claim to the place and one of them has seen a fair bit of peace recently and is just across a bit of water. Mind you that would potentially set a fairly large cat among the pigeons. I was wondering until I read the last bit about this coming new war how the successor states of Trabezon and Morea [the latter having pulled itself together and picked up a good section of European Greece ] would get on and whether a timely marriage might help them both.

Steve
 
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ATP

Well-known member
Great chapter,like always.
And author very well showed,how plans could fail - hungarian nobles started cyvil war to get puppet,but ended under ruler who strip them of most of their power anyway.
Interesting - if Ottomans fall for good,then who would reclaim Constantinopole and mantle of Byzantine empire - morea,or Trapezunt? rather not Thessalia.

P.S As far as i knew,albanian even now are ruled by clans.In this TL,with strong rulers,they could become real nation.
And they still could choose if they want be catholics or orthodox.Whatever suit their rulers best,probably.

Considering that their state now is living from drugs - it would be funny,if they start selling poppy to Europe in this TL.
 

Eparkhos

Well-known member
Glad to see this TL ported here!
Thank you.

Great chapter,like always.
And author very well showed,how plans could fail - hungarian nobles started cyvil war to get puppet,but ended under ruler who strip them of most of their power anyway.
Interesting - if Ottomans fall for good,then who would reclaim Constantinopole and mantle of Byzantine empire - morea,or Trapezunt? rather not Thessalia.

P.S As far as i knew,albanian even now are ruled by clans.In this TL,with strong rulers,they could become real nation.
And they still could choose if they want be catholics or orthodox.Whatever suit their rulers best,probably.

Considering that their state now is living from drugs - it would be funny,if they start selling poppy to Europe in this TL.
Albanian empire of narco-clans incoming.

Seriously, I imagine that if the Ottomans keel over then it'll probably be the Moreotes who take Constantinople, just because Trapezous would be seriously overextending itself. Perhaps a Third Bulgarian Empire or some Greek revolter state?
Well that sounds like the final death knell for the Ottoman empire. Already gravely weakened its to be attacked by just about all its neighbours. Of course one big issue if it does fall is who ends up with that insignificant settlement on the Bosporus? ;) Can't help thinking there are two families with an hereditary claim to the place and one of them has seen a fair bit of peace recently and is just across a bit of water. Mind you that would potentially set a fairly large cat among the pigeons. I was wondering until I read the last bit about this coming new war how the successor states of Trabezon and Morea [the latter having pulled itself together and picked up a good section of European Greece ] would get on and whether a timely marriage might help them both.

Steve
Yeah, I'm not gonna lie, the Ottomans are gonna survive. Hypothetically, if they did collapse, then it would most likely be the Moreotes who took over, because the Trapezuntines are too far from home.
 

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