Russia-Ukraine War Politics Thread Mk. 2






The slow rolling of aid to Ukraine has left Zelensky and many Ukrainians feeling betrayed by the west and their allies.

Those 'Main takeaways for Ukraine' are literally just the bare minimum of common sense required for a nation to exist, maybe something radical like 'Don't break military treaties with the much bigger power on your border' will be added to that list after the war is over.
 
Those 'Main takeaways for Ukraine' are literally just the bare minimum of common sense required for a nation to exist, maybe something radical like 'Don't break military treaties with the much bigger power on your border' will be added to that list after the war is over.
Ukraine broke no treaties with Moscow, the Ukrainian people simply got tired of being ruled by Moscow and their puppet regimes.
 
Ukraine broke no treaties with Moscow, the Ukrainian people simply got tired of being ruled by Moscow and their puppet regimes.
Right I forgot, the Minsk Accords were never signed, our 'side' never does anything wrong, and Donbas isn't a place that actually exists. Sorry, I sometimes forget to properly revise my history to be more politically correct.

The other day I even completely forgot that Franz Ferdinand was killed in an automobile accident.
 





The slow rolling of aid to Ukraine has left Zelensky and many Ukrainians feeling betrayed by the west and their allies.



The political and social will to win is still present in Ukraine, perhaps even having hardened after all the things Russia has done, so trying to sell any agreement to the Ukrainian people that allows Russia to keep the temporarily occupied areas is probably not going to fly.

As well, Ukraine is shifting to more and more domestic production or arms, so they are not dependent on the west for as much, and deep strikes to degrade Russian forces.



Zelensky is very clear eyed that if Ukraine is forced to capitulate to Russia, it will not actually stop the fighting, and may cause conflict to spread even further.

USA is still trying to made deal with Moscov - they would gave them Ukraine,Poland and whatever they want for alliance against China.
But - Putin heroically refuse to betray his commie allies.
What can i say? long live comrade colonel,without him we would be arleady in kgb loving hands.
 
Right I forgot, the Minsk Accords were never signed, our 'side' never does anything wrong, and Donbas isn't a place that actually exists. Sorry, I sometimes forget to properly revise my history to be more politically correct.

The other day I even completely forgot that Franz Ferdinand was killed in an automobile accident.
Chad yes, screw FSB hybrid warfare ops and SVR propaganda and leftist style navel gazing about "things we did wrong" is in my eye a sign of someone doing the same shit said leftists do to our culture, for the same or another cause. One day China may use similar hybrid tactics to grab a piece of Russia, and all the people who whined about Donbass and Minsk bullshit will get a revelation.
If Russians didn't like it in Western aligned Ukraine, they should have all moved to the largest country in the world, it's not like it's running out of real estate or something.
 
Chad yes, screw FSB hybrid warfare ops and SVR propaganda and leftist style navel gazing about "things we did wrong" is in my eye a sign of someone doing the same shit said leftists do to our culture, for the same or another cause. One day China may use similar hybrid tactics to grab a piece of Russia, and all the people who whined about Donbass and Minsk bullshit will get a revelation.
If Russians didn't like it in Western aligned Ukraine, they should have all moved to the largest country in the world, it's not like it's running out of real estate or something.
Yes except that this isn't really about right or wrong in a moral sense, it's about whether you have common sense or if your nation too stupid to exist in the world. Dress it up all you like but Ukraine did provoke Russia, which is an extremely stupid move on their part.

Going on about who's in the right in a war is just a trite load of crap, this invasion isn't unprecedented or special, nor is it on a scale beyond what America, Britain and France have themselves been doing in foreign countries in recent history.

If South Korea all of the sudden started attacking Ethnic Chinese citizens in a similar fashion, I'd again say that they're too stupid exist and deserve everything coming to them. Doesn't really matter why they attacked them or if they were morally justified, they should've known better.

As for what the Russians should've done, well I guess that'll be determined by who's left standing in the end. Either way America doesn't really have a moral leg to stand on either, you did the same shit in Iraq and your excuse for it was way worse.

In fact a mere cursory glance at the middle east is more than enough to dispel the notion that you're any better than the Russians. I ultimately don't care who wins this war, everyone involved is an asshole and they all deserve to lose. But Ukraine deserves to lose most of all, because not only are they assholes but they're also morons.
 
Yes except that this isn't really about right or wrong in a moral sense, it's about whether you have common sense or if your nation too stupid to exist in the world. Dress it up all you like but Ukraine did provoke Russia, which is an extremely stupid move on their part.
Yes, sure, Russia stronk, it's stupid to provoke it.
I will turn the argument around for you to understand.
No, Russia is a rusty corpse of the Soviet Union, and it is an extremely stupid move on their part to provoke the Western economic and military superpowers.
Going on about who's in the right in a war is just a trite load of crap, this invasion isn't unprecedented or special, nor is it on a scale beyond what America, Britain and France have themselves been doing in foreign countries in recent history.
Whatever.
But as the saying goes, it's one thing when a drunken guest goes behind the shed and takes a piss, it's crude but understandable, no one will care much.
It's a completely another thing when a drunken guest climbs the dining table and starts pissing all over the party while doing a helicopter.
Russia could play in the sandbox with the rest of western countries and no one was doing much about it for many years, as it is understood that third world is a mess anyway.
But they crossed a line by playing full contact politics like this in Europe.
If South Korea all of the sudden started attacking Ethnic Chinese citizens in a similar fashion, I'd again say that they're too stupid exist and deserve everything coming to them. Doesn't really matter why they attacked them or if they were morally justified, they should've known better.
South Korea has a right to deport every Chinese citizen whenever it wants.
China is also deporting whatever foreigners it wants, whenever it wants, and no one even says anything about it.
As for what the Russians should've done, well I guess that'll be determined by who's left standing in the end. Either way America doesn't really have a moral leg to stand on either, you did the same shit in Iraq and your excuse for it was way worse.
Fuck Iraq and its Ba'ath socialist dictator, i don't give a shit if Americans execute a third world socialist leader on live TV every year, fuck it, if i was an American i would vote for the presidential candidate promising to do so. You say you don't care about what's right or wrong, fine, i can live with that, wonder if you can.
In fact a mere cursory glance at the middle east is more than enough to dispel the notion that you're any better than the Russians. I ultimately don't care who wins this war, everyone involved is an asshole and they all deserve to lose. But Ukraine deserves to lose most of all, because not only are they assholes but they're also morons.
No, Russian leadership are the greatest morons of all, acting all superpower like, while they stopped being a superpower over 30 years ago, and the only thing they have left after one is some of the border, and most of a superpower army, except from 30 years ago, and with some extra rust on it.
 
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Yes, sure, Russia stronk, it's stupid to provoke it.
I will turn the argument around for you to understand.
No, Russia is a rusty corpse of the Soviet Union, and it is an extremely stupid move on their part to provoke the Western economic and military superpowers.

Whatever.
But as the saying goes, it's one thing when a drunken guest goes behind the shed and takes a piss.
It's a completely another thing when a drunken guest climbs the dining table and starts pissing all over the party while doing a helicopter.
Russia could play in the sandbox with the rest of western countries and no one was doing much about it for many years, as it is understood that third world is a mess anyway.
But they crossed a line by playing full contact politics like this in Europe.

South Korea has a right to deport every Chinese citizen whenever it wants.

Fuck Iraq and its Ba'ath socialist dictator, i don't give a shit if Americans execute a third world socialist leader on live TV every year, fuck it, if i was an American i would vote for the presidential candidate promising to do so. You say you don't care about what's right or wrong, fine, i can live with that, wonder if you can.

No, Russian leadership are the greatest morons of all, acting all superpower like, while they stopped being a superpower over 30 years ago, and the only thing they have left after one is some of the border, and most of a superpower army, except from 30 years ago, and with some extra rust on it.
America can provoke Russia and get away with it, so can China for that matter, and Saudi Arabia, and Israel too I guess. But yeah it's fucking stupid for anyone else. As for Europe being some shining exemplar where such things aren't tried, that's just revisionist history and fairly sloppy revisionist history at that.

Yes and if Ukraine had stuck to deporting people instead of shelling them they might've avoided this entire kerfluffle, but they didn't and so here we are. And if SK did end up killing 14.000 of their Ethnic Chinese citizens I'd hazard a guess that I could predict what would happen next.

As for Russian leadership being morons, well it's true that they're not the superpower they once were but it's not like they're going to get there again by shrinking away from confrontation. Moreover I'm not sure why people keep taking them at their word when they said that they wanted to keep this invasion short, especially when it's entirely in their best interest to keep this invasion going as long as they possibly can. And virtually every action they've taken with the exception of a single token peace offer has been to prolong the conflict.

The entire basis for the idea that the Russians are incompetent is that when they said they wanted to end this conflict quickly people actually believed them for some reason.
 
America can provoke Russia and get away with it, so can China for that matter, and Saudi Arabia, and Israel too I guess. But yeah it's fucking stupid for anyone else. As for Europe being some shining exemplar where such things aren't tried, that's just revisionist history and fairly sloppy revisionist history at that.
Revisionist history my ass. This is what alliances exist for.
Yes and if Ukraine had stuck to deporting people instead of shelling them they might've avoided this entire kerfluffle, but they didn't and so here we are. And if SK did end up killing 14.000 of their Ethnic Chinese citizens I'd hazard a guess that I could predict what would happen next.
It's hard to deport people with Russian guns and FSB handlers like Girkin. So drop the russo-folklore myths along the lines of evil Donbass shelling by nazi devils for no reason at all and other bullshit like that, i know people got paid to arrange these stories, people died to arrange these stories, but they are still just that, stories for idiot audiences to be turned into useful idiots.
As for Russian leadership being morons, well it's true that they're not the superpower they once were but it's not like they're going to get there again by shrinking away from confrontation. Moreover I'm not sure why people keep taking them at their word when they said that they wanted to keep this invasion short, especially when it's entirely in their best interest to keep this invasion going as long as they possibly can. And virtually every action they've taken with the exception of a single token peace offer has been to prolong the conflict.
They will certainly not get there the way they are going. Yeah, the state of war itself works fine for the leadership class, more opportunities to do shady stuff for fun and profit, combined with less need for pretending to be a normal government caring about its people.
However, what's good for the elites, as we westerners are suffering too, is not necessarily
good for the country or the population.
The entire basis for the idea that the Russians are incompetent is that when they said they wanted to end this conflict quickly people actually believed them for some reason.
Also taking massive losses in men, money, hardware and diplomatic capital. Sure, it still could be a plan for the elites, but only if the latter part of the plans includes dual citizenship and Swiss bank accounts as the central point for most of them.
 
Revisionist history my ass. This is what alliances exist for.
Alliances which Ukraine was not apart of and was deliberately kept out of, another piece of revisionist history.
It's hard to deport people with Russian guns and FSB handlers like Girkin. So drop the russo-folklore myths along the lines of evil Donbass shelling by nazi devils for no reason at all and other bullshit like that, i know people got paid to arrange these stories, people died to arrange these stories, but they are still just that, stories for idiot audiences to be turned into useful idiots.
Right, inserting your own warped opinion into my words is clearly a rational response. I didn't say why they were shelling the Donbass and frankly it really doesn't fucking matter whether they were justified or not in doing it.

It's kind of like Hamas attacking Israel, they might have their justifications but that doesn't change that it's fucking stupid of them.
They will certainly not get there the way they are going. Yeah, the state of war itself works fine for the leadership class, more opportunities to do shady stuff for fun and profit, combined with less need for pretending to be a normal government caring about its people.
However, what's good for the elites, as we westerners are suffering too, is not necessarily
good for the country or the population.
Right, because how could a perpetual excuse for continuous military build up possibly lead to a nation getting more power?
Also taking massive losses in men, money, hardware and diplomatic capital. Sure, it still could be a plan for the elites, but only if the latter part of the plans includes dual citizenship and Swiss bank accounts as the central point for most of them.
If you buy into the casualty figures provided by our government, and I don't think it's so much a plan for the elites as it is a plan to kill as many military-aged Ukrainian men as they possibly can before leaving the state in such a ruin that it'll take them generations to recover. As well as using the war as an excuse for a massive military build-up while they're at it.

I also don't see why you seem to think they'd need dual citizenship, if Russia wants to end the war they just have to nuke them. It's not like the west would retaliate for it in any meaningful sense of the word, we might sanction them some more but we don't actually give enough of a shit about Ukraine to attack them over it.

If Russia tells me they're trying to end this quickly, I have the common sense to assume that they're lying. And if America tells me that Russia is telling me the truth about their objectives and is just failing to achieve them, that's the moment I know that they're lying.
 
The men they are losing are mostly conscripts from other ethnicities.
In effect, they are getting away with ethnic cleansing while the west cheers for every dead "russian" conscript.
They wish it was true. They are going through conscripts and officers too fast for that though.
Alliances which Ukraine was not apart of and was deliberately kept out of, another piece of revisionist history.
Yet it's getting western support despite nonexistent alliances.
Right, inserting your own warped opinion into my words is clearly a rational response. I didn't say why they were shelling the Donbass and frankly it really doesn't fucking matter whether they were justified or not in doing it.
So, what was that with "but they shelled them instead of deporting them" if you know that Russia arranged this situation to be like it was, and leave out inconvenient options?
It's kind of like Hamas attacking Israel, they might have their justifications but that doesn't change that it's fucking stupid of them.
It's insane, not stupid. It makes sense in their logic as jihadis.
Right, because how could a perpetual excuse for continuous military build up possibly lead to a nation getting more power?
Yeah, the T-55 and T-62 reactivation sure is making the Pentagon tremble in fear, just like replacing half of VDV with fresh meat with mere weeks of training and the flagship of the Black Sea Fleet being on the bottom of said sea.
If you buy into the casualty figures provided by our government, and I don't think it's so much a plan for the elites as it is a plan to kill as many military-aged Ukrainian men as they possibly can before leaving the state in such a ruin that it'll take them generations to recover. As well as using the war as an excuse for a massive military build-up while they're at it.
Well what casualty figures do you buy into? I've spent too much time digging into this topic, so please, give me a hot take, impress me.
I also don't see why you seem to think they'd need dual citizenship, if Russia wants to end the war they just have to nuke them. It's not like the west would retaliate for it in any meaningful sense of the word, we might sanction them some more but we don't actually give enough of a shit about Ukraine to attack them over it.
China said they would not like that. Russia itself also doesn't want that precedent to be set, even if the elites don't care about the consequences of it, the side effect would be loss of some... family exit plans.
If Russia tells me they're trying to end this quickly, I have the common sense to assume that they're lying. And if America tells me that Russia is telling me the truth about their objectives and is just failing to achieve them, that's the moment I know that they're lying.
Think of it further. The thing more exploitable than a war is a victorious war. And the thing more exploitable than a victorious war is another war afterwards.
 
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America can provoke Russia and get away with it, so can China for that matter, and Saudi Arabia, and Israel too I guess. But yeah it's fucking stupid for anyone else. As for Europe being some shining exemplar where such things aren't tried, that's just revisionist history and fairly sloppy revisionist history at that.

Yes and if Ukraine had stuck to deporting people instead of shelling them they might've avoided this entire kerfluffle, but they didn't and so here we are. And if SK did end up killing 14.000 of their Ethnic Chinese citizens I'd hazard a guess that I could predict what would happen next.

As for Russian leadership being morons, well it's true that they're not the superpower they once were but it's not like they're going to get there again by shrinking away from confrontation. Moreover I'm not sure why people keep taking them at their word when they said that they wanted to keep this invasion short, especially when it's entirely in their best interest to keep this invasion going as long as they possibly can. And virtually every action they've taken with the exception of a single token peace offer has been to prolong the conflict.

The entire basis for the idea that the Russians are incompetent is that when they said they wanted to end this conflict quickly people actually believed them for some reason.
Umm what? Dude if Russia won the war quick in like 3 days it would be great for them he’ll the sanctions would be over by then. Russia stuck in a prolonged war is the worst thing for them. If they lost then at worst they would pull their leaders would be removed annd anrre or executes in a coup and they could start rebuilding maybe start trade with the west again. But as it’s ongoing it’s a constant scab on the Russians a wound that won’t heal if I hated Russia I’d want the war to never end.
 
Yet it's getting western support despite nonexistent alliances.
Well, yeah of course it's getting support. Doesn't mean that it was somehow smart of Ukraine to provoke Russia, it was in fact still pretty dumb.
So, what was that with "but they shelled them instead of deporting them" if you know that Russia arranged this situation to be like it was, and leave out inconvenient options?
Just because a man sets up a trap doesn't make smart for another man to step in it so brazenly. Especially when it's a trap that anyone with common sense could've seen coming from a mile away.
It's insane, not stupid. It makes sense in their logic as jihadis.
The way they went about it is stupid. And insanity and stupidity aren't exactly mutually exclusive either.
Yeah, the T-55 and T-62 reactivation sure is making the Pentagon tremble in fear, just like replacing half of VDV with fresh meat with mere weeks of training and the flagship of the Black Sea Fleet being on the bottom of said sea.
Ah yes the mighty achievement of sinking a forty year old cruiser...

And yes they've reactivated some old product, not like they can rebuild their entire military infrastructure overnight. But I'm still going to assume that that's one of their goals in this war, they need an excuse to rebuild their military to modern specs so they're creating an excuse. It's not exactly a revolutionary tactic, it's literally the oldest trick in the book.
Well what casualty figures do you buy into? I've spent too much time digging into this topic, so please, give me a hot take, impress me.
Well, usually I judge whether someone's telling the truth by whether he's been arrested or investigated for publishing it, or whether he was shot by an unknown mugger shortly after. So I guess the Pentagon leaks are my current best estimate, although I don't believe anything unconditionally.
China said they would not like that. Russia itself also doesn't want that precedent to be set, even if the elites don't care about the consequences of it, the side effect would be loss of some... family exit plans.
You have a serious problem with taking things that nation states say at face value, like it's fine to take things that people say to you at face value a lot of the time but it's just naive to apply that sort of thinking to a nation state. In fact you should just assume that they're lying to you by default.

If they had any real need to end the war they wouldn't hesitate to use a nuke, you're seriously overestimating the effectiveness of the so-called nuclear armistice.
Think of it further. The thing more exploitable than a war is a victorious war. And the thing more exploitable than a victorious war is another war afterwards.
Right except that that's like the opposite of how the doctrine's been for the last few decades, these days we like our wars to be drawn out and messy affairs. A victorious war would mean you actually have to deal with the aftermath, find a way to manage whatever territorial gains you made and somehow govern the resentful populace. In the end you've gained nothing but a bunch of land you have to manage and you have to invest in a bunch of infrastructure that might not see profit for years or decades.

A proper 21st century war is like a party with a bunch of friends and plenty of booze, whereas a victorious 21st century war is the hangover and dealing with the mess you made. With recriminating fingers pointing at you and chastising you for the mess you made.

Winning a war quickly and effectively is really only a priority when your survival is at stake, and that hasn't been the case for any of the nuclear powers since WW2.
 
Well, yeah of course it's getting support. Doesn't mean that it was somehow smart of Ukraine to provoke Russia, it was in fact still pretty dumb.
It's also not very smart to think countries should structure their entire policy around "not provoking" aka following the will of neighboring powers. Let's call spade a spade - you expected Ukraine to remain a puppet state. And what's the fucking point of having a state if it's going to not only not be properly independent, but run into shit by foreign rulers?
Just because a man sets up a trap doesn't make smart for another man to step in it so brazenly. Especially when it's a trap that anyone with common sense could've seen coming from a mile away.
What fucking trap, yeah, sure, Putin has a grand plan going centuries forward :D
The way they went about it is stupid. And insanity and stupidity aren't exactly mutually exclusive either.
In their case they kinda are.
Ah yes the mighty achievement of sinking a forty year old cruiser...
It's a cruiser, not your fucking sedan. Look at the ages of US and British warships.
And yes they've reactivated some old product, not like they can rebuild their entire military infrastructure overnight. But I'm still going to assume that that's one of their goals in this war, they need an excuse to rebuild their military to modern specs so they're creating an excuse. It's not exactly a revolutionary tactic, it's literally the oldest trick in the book.
Yet they aren't rebuilding shit, the facts are that if anything, they are rebuilding in reverse. They are losing good stuff, losing production lines of good stuff to sanctions, and have to satisfy themselves with reactivating old crap and low quality wartime production made of whatever they can get, which they also lose en masse because of how shitty it is.
No, they didn't need jack shit for an excuse, they do much worse things with a lot less excuse.
Well, usually I judge whether someone's telling the truth by whether he's been arrested or investigated for publishing it, or whether he was shot by an unknown mugger shortly after. So I guess the Pentagon leaks are my current best estimate, although I don't believe anything unconditionally.
Ah, so you trust idiots who don't take legal precautions and risk their freedom for discord cred, got it. And you said something about not trusting western governments i thought :D
You have a serious problem with taking things that nation states say at face value, like it's fine to take things that people say to you at face value a lot of the time but it's just naive to apply that sort of thinking to a nation state. In fact you should just assume that they're lying to you by default.

If they had any real need to end the war they wouldn't hesitate to use a nuke, you're seriously overestimating the effectiveness of the so-called nuclear armistice.
No, if they had real need to end themselves they wouldn't hesitate to use a nuke.
I'm not "overestimating the effectiveness of the so-called nuclear armistice", the fact is that it works, judging by amount of nukes used.
Right except that that's like the opposite of how the doctrine's been for the last few decades, these days we like our wars to be drawn out and messy affairs. A victorious war would mean you actually have to deal with the aftermath, find a way to manage whatever territorial gains you made and somehow govern the resentful populace. In the end you've gained nothing but a bunch of land you have to manage and you have to invest in a bunch of infrastructure that might not see profit for years or decades.
They already have to deal with the aftermath on occupied territories, which is even harder in wartime. Yes, from state budget point of view it's generally not worth it, but think of the well connected contractors who can charge 5-10x for providing basic services around occupied territories in wartime, we had a glimpse of that with the fortification quality and Mariupol rebuilding, both by said well connected civilian contractors.
A proper 21st century war is like a party with a bunch of friends and plenty of booze, whereas a victorious 21st century war is the hangover and dealing with the mess you made. With recriminating fingers pointing at you and chastising you for the mess you made.

Winning a war quickly and effectively is really only a priority when your survival is at stake, and that hasn't been the case for any of the nuclear powers since WW2.
If your survival is at stake then naturally winning a war is not that easy at all. If it was, then survival wouldn't be at stake.
But as i said, it doesn't matter if the state loses money overall in the war for a country like Russia, it matters if the important people gain money and extra positions to be divvied up, if the total balance is negative, oh well, who cares.
 


So seems an increasing number of Russian's want to treat Alaska the same way they have treated Ukraine.

Though at least these one's got blapped as mobiks.

True,but it would not stop Democrats from making deals with Moscov,when somebody finally kill Putin.
 
If the Democrats in Washington tried to give Alaska to Russia, the most effective result they could possibly have would be Alaskan independence.

And the Alaskan National Guard is no joke.
I hope you are right.Becouse Democrats are capable of fucking everytching,even changing good local National Guard into some lgbt joke.
P.S i read,that local indians really belive,that some kind of small/less then 2m/ bigfoot live there.
 
If the Democrats in Washington tried to give Alaska to Russia, the most effective result they could possibly have would be Alaskan independence.

And the Alaskan National Guard is no joke.
As old as their gear is from non-Classified documents. It's still advanced enough to fuck over the entire Russian Army, Aerospace and Navy forces that come in range. All their gear are Designed to Counter all of Russia's technology
 

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