Turkish-backed attack on Armenia by Azerbaijan with formal declaration of War

[SchrodingersWehraboo]

Oh no really? Azerbaijani wolves on the hunt again.

 

[lordhen]

Oh no really? Azerbaijani wolves on the hunt again.

Seems the Azerbaijani TB2s want to reclaim the spotlights from the Ukrainian TB2s.

 

[UberIguana]

With Russian forces withdrawing from Georgia, along with their displays of general incompetence the likelihood of South Ossetia/Abkhazia 2.0 is rising. If Belarus either joins the war in Ukraine or ousts Lukashenko that adds them to the list of mayhem.

All we need then is for the 'Stans to find something to kick off about and we'll have the full Soviet civil war the CIA predicted back in the 70s. It'll be 22 years late, but it was a timetable from a government body.

 

[TheRejectionist]

So much for opening dialogue!

 

[lordhen]

So much for opening dialogue!

Seems Azerbaijan is propping in how far they can go until Russia says it is enough.

 

[SchrodingersWehraboo]

 

[Husky_Khan]

And just to make things interesting Azerbaijan and Russia signed a Cooperation Pact barely a couple days before the Invasion of Ukraine.

The 43-article document promotes their cooperation in a wide range of areas, from humanitarian and economic ties to coordination in critical security issues (Mfa.gov.az, February 22). The document came on the heels of Azerbaijan’s establishment last summer of an allied relationship with Turkey via the Shusha Declaration (see EDM June 23, 2021) and recently reinvigorated relations with the European Union, which are expected to result in the signing of a new framework agreement in the near future. Hence, the Moscow Declaration is widely seen in Azerbaijan as a delicate balancing act to maintain relations with Russia at a friendly level—which is increasingly important against the backdrop of war in the former Soviet space.

Amidst Aliyev’s visit to Moscow, some Azerbaijani experts argued that the signed Russo-Azerbaijani declaration is a reassurance that Russia will not “pursue similar policies toward Azerbaijan [as Russia has carried out against Georgia and Ukraine] in exchange for Azerbaijan recognizing Russia as a dominant power in the broader former Soviet region” (Twitter.com/AzStudies/, February 22). This is critical for a number of reasons, but primarily because of the lack of any capable balancing power that would dare to openly and militarily confront Russia in the case of a challenging security situation that might involve Azerbaijan—as the experience of Ukraine and Georgia regretfully demonstrates. The document is also seen by some Azerbaijani observers as an assurance that the trilateral (Azerbaijan, Armenia, Russia) declarations of November 10, 2020, January 11, 2021, and November 26, 2021, will enjoy further support from Moscow

Azerbaijan And Russia Sign Declaration On Allied Cooperation – Analysis

On February 22, just two days before Russian tanks and missiles started crossing the Ukrainian border, President Ilham Aliyev of Azerbaijan and President Vladimir Putin of Russia signed a declaration in Moscow vowing to upgrade their bilateral relations to an allied level (Azertag, February 22)...

www.eurasiareview.com

---

Seems Azerbaijan is propping in how far they can go until Russia says it is enough.

Moscow has just accused Azerbaijan of violating the cease fire actually.

Russia accuses Azerbaijan of violating Nagorno-Karabakh ceasefire

Moscow on Saturday accused Azerbaijan of violating a ceasefire agreement by entering the Russian peacekeeping mission's zone in the breakaway region of Nagorno-Karabakh, the first time Russia publicly…

www.france24.com

Considering some of these alleged violations happened in the presence of Russian peacekeepers in the region it's interesting to see how this situation is developing.

 

[lordhen]

And just to make things interesting Azerbaijan and Russia signed a Cooperation Pact barely a couple days before the Invasion of Ukraine.

Azerbaijan And Russia Sign Declaration On Allied Cooperation – Analysis

On February 22, just two days before Russian tanks and missiles started crossing the Ukrainian border, President Ilham Aliyev of Azerbaijan and President Vladimir Putin of Russia signed a declaration in Moscow vowing to upgrade their bilateral relations to an allied level (Azertag, February 22)...

www.eurasiareview.com

---

Moscow has just accused Azerbaijan of violating the cease fire actually.

Russia accuses Azerbaijan of violating Nagorno-Karabakh ceasefire

Moscow on Saturday accused Azerbaijan of violating a ceasefire agreement by entering the Russian peacekeeping mission's zone in the breakaway region of Nagorno-Karabakh, the first time Russia publicly…

www.france24.com

Considering some of these alleged violations happened in the presence of Russian peacekeepers in the region it's interesting to see how this situation is developing.

Russia has not got enough peacekeepers to do anything about Azerbaijan as they are busy elsewhere and Azerbaijan knows that.

 

[Simonbob]

Russia has not got enough peacekeepers to do anything about Azerbaijan as they are busy elsewhere and Azerbaijan knows that.

That's bad.

Russia is run by people who can't afford to look weak, or they'll get killed by their own people. What's going in Ukraine is bad enough, but this is going to push Putin and the rest of his people into even more desperation.

Making a Atomic power desperate is a really bad idea.


(Seriously, he's still got troops and gear to spread around, but still....)

 

[ATP]

That's bad.

Russia is run by people who can't afford to look weak, or they'll get killed by their own people. What's going in Ukraine is bad enough, but this is going to push Putin and the rest of his people into even more desperation.

Making a Atomic power desperate is a really bad idea.


(Seriously, he's still got troops and gear to spread around, but still....)

KGBstan is mafia state ruled by KGB mafias.If Putin get killed,other KGB colonel would take power.Nothing would change there,but West start pretend to belive that it is normal state again.
Till new Putin attack somebody else.

Azerbeijan could do that only backed by Turkey,so Putin really is screwed.Not as much as armenians - their only hope now is Iran.Poor people.

 

[Simonbob]

KGBstan is mafia state ruled by KGB mafias.If Putin get killed,other KGB colonel would take power.Nothing would change there,but West start pretend to belive that it is normal state again.
Till new Putin attack somebody else.

Putin knows that.

Putin also knows that nuking somebody might be worse than anything else for him. But, if he feel that's changed, if there's enough desperation.....


Basicly? Invading right now puts a lot of extra pressure on Putin. That's risky.

 

[ATP]

Putin knows that.

Putin also knows that nuking somebody might be worse than anything else for him. But, if he feel that's changed, if there's enough desperation.....


Basicly? Invading right now puts a lot of extra pressure on Putin. That's risky.

Indeed.He is psycho,who belive only in his right to rule Russia.And knew,that KGB mafia would kill him if he lost power.So,he must rule in self-defence till he die.

 

[ATP]

Putin knows that.

Putin also knows that nuking somebody might be worse than anything else for him. But, if he feel that's changed, if there's enough desperation.....


Basicly? Invading right now puts a lot of extra pressure on Putin. That's risky.

Here,excellent poem about nature of power in Russia by polish great poet Zbigniew Herbert:

A Russian Tale

by Zbigniew Herbert
The tsar our little father had grown old, very old. Now he could not even strangle a dove with his own hands. Sitting on his throne he was golden and frigid. Only his beard grew, down to the floor and farther.
Then someone else ruled, it was not known who. Curious folk peeped into the palace windows but Krivonosov screened the windows with gibbets. Thus only the hanged saw anything.
In the end the tsar our little father died for good. The bells rang and rang, yet they did not bring his body out. Our tsar had grown into the throne. The legs of the throne had become all mixed up with the legs of the tsar. His arm and the armrest were one. It was impossible to tear him loose. And to bury the tsar along with the golden throne - what a shame.

 

[Husky_Khan]

The Russian MoD apparently reported that Azeri forces have departed the village of Parukh/Farukh that they had occupied earlier (as well as expelling the local villagers) but new video seems to show Azeri troops still in the town, with the flag of Azerbaijan fluttering over the village.

 

[SchrodingersWehraboo]

Iran has entered the chat.

 

[Simonbob]

Iran has entered the chat.

Oh, Hell.

There goes the neighbourhood.

 

[Agent23]

Here,excellent poem about nature of power in Russia by polish great poet Zbigniew Herbert:

A Russian Tale

by Zbigniew Herbert
The tsar our little father had grown old, very old. Now he could not even strangle a dove with his own hands. Sitting on his throne he was golden and frigid. Only his beard grew, down to the floor and farther.
Then someone else ruled, it was not known who. Curious folk peeped into the palace windows but Krivonosov screened the windows with gibbets. Thus only the hanged saw anything.
In the end the tsar our little father died for good. The bells rang and rang, yet they did not bring his body out. Our tsar had grown into the throne. The legs of the throne had become all mixed up with the legs of the tsar. His arm and the armrest were one. It was impossible to tear him loose. And to bury the tsar along with the golden throne - what a shame.

I must ask, is there some particular reson why poles called Zbigniew hate Russia?
You know, aside from being Polish.

Oh, Hell.

There goes the neighbourhood.

Not the most exemplary neighbourhood to begin with.

 

[ATP]

I must ask, is there some particular reson why poles called Zbigniew hate Russia?
You know, aside from being Polish.

Not the most exemplary neighbourhood to begin with.

He loved Russia - but undarstand their political system.Which is explained in his poem.
P.S only reason why he do not get Noble prize when it still counted,was becouse he was also antisoviet.And undarstant russian political system,too.
West always prefered to pretend,that they do not see monster in Moscow.Their mistake,now they see.

 

[Husky_Khan]

Looks like the Russians are in the process of reinforcing their peacekeepers in the region as pushback against Azeri advances.

 

[ATP]

Looks like the Russians are in the process of reinforcing their peacekeepers in the region as pushback against Azeri advances.

Which mean,that Turkey indirectly help Ukraine.Maybe sultan want Crimea ?