China Wuhan Virus Pandemic

@RandomUsername as long as the transmissions in Japan and Germany were between close family members, I am not greatly worried.

Again, I would like to remind everyone that the experts are confident China is underreporting the number of cases, not the lethality. While this could be bad, it's Spanish Influenza-bad, not The Stand bad.
 
DarthOne said:
A 2010 study showed that, depending on temperature and humidity, (typical) coronavirus can survive 28 days on surfaces. Now, nCoV is a not a typical strain--it appears to be much stronger. At the press release, the CDC doctor waffled and was evasive, when asked about this (said virus likely dead in 24 hours). They now admit it survives on surfaces up to 5 days. There's a possibility it may be much longer. Effects of Air Temperature and Relative Humidity on Coronavirus Survival on Surfaces https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2863430/
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"Strong" isn't a particularly scientific metric for a virus. In fact, nCoV is currently evolving toward being more infectious -- and it's already quite infectious. What we should all remember is that while it's related to SARS and MERS, the entire family is also related to the Common Cold, which is quite simply one of the most effective virii in the history of the world. A disease wants to reproduce, which means that if it's evolving rapidly, the highly infectious but less lethal strains will tend to outcompete the more lethal ones. I fully expect the death rate to keep declining as it spreads around the world, however, there is a real risk that in the process of evolving into a new form of common cold, it will kill tens of millions of people. That is real. But let's not give into panic about the implementations of that. Anyone reading this thread remains much more likely to die in a car wreck, or of a heart attack, or of cancer, than in the pandemic this virus may well (admittedly) now unleash.
 
Tyanna of Pentos said:
@RandomUsername as long as the transmissions in Japan and Germany were between close family members, I am not greatly worried.

Again, I would like to remind everyone that the experts are confident China is underreporting the number of cases, not the lethality. While this could be bad, it's Spanish Influenza-bad, not The Stand bad.
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I'm more worried of possible infections instead of the lethality.

China's quite fucked but any global infections can be usually contained.
 
Random Username said:
This one? O'Hare International Airport.

www.nbcchicago.com

What We Know About the Patient Diagnosed With Coronavirus in Chicago

The woman diagnosed with coronavirus in Chicago, the second confirmed case of the new and potentially deadly virus in the United States, did not have much contact outside her home following her return from Wuhan, China, the epicenter of the latest outbreak, according to health officials.
www.nbcchicago.com www.nbcchicago.com
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Well shit. My father was in O'Hare within 5 days after that.

They say that it's unlikely she was contagious at that point, but the waffling from the CDC about it's survival on surfaces does not reassure me.

I almost want to have my dad get checked out, just to be sure, but he'd probably just say I'm overreacting and not do it.
 
Tiamat said:
Sounds like you really dodged a bullet there.
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Probably. My immune system is weaker due to the medication I take for psoriasis, so even though I would have been nowhere near Wuhan, I still expect I would have been sick somehow anyway.
 
Random Username said:
And Deus Ex.

Why contain it? Let it spill over into third and first world countries, let the panic set in.
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Welp. If it's gotten to the UAE, odds are unless they actually successfully stop it there, it's going to start spreading through most of Arabia and Africa. Because once it gets to a less-prosperous part of the ME, or to most any part of Africa, the chances of enforcing a quarantine are lousy.

This could go really big. Could.
 
LordsFire said:
Welp. If it's gotten to the UAE, odds are unless they actually successfully stop it there, it's going to start spreading through most of Arabia and Africa. Because once it gets to a less-prosperous part of the ME, or to most any part of Africa, the chances of enforcing a quarantine are lousy.

This could go really big. Could.
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Even if the lethality were low, not many people would have the time or money to properly treat the effects
 
www.watoday.com.au

Coronavirus contagious before symptoms show: chief medical officer

The major update in health advice comes as Victoria's chief medical officer confirms a second coronavirus case, taking the national tally to six.
www.watoday.com.au www.watoday.com.au

Hold onto your butts.

CarlManvers2019 said:
How much access or affordability on average do Middle Easterners from less prosperous areas have when it comes to say, facial masks and gloves?
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I don't think they'll use them when it's hot wearing it there.
 
Random Username said:
www.watoday.com.au

Coronavirus contagious before symptoms show: chief medical officer

The major update in health advice comes as Victoria's chief medical officer confirms a second coronavirus case, taking the national tally to six.
www.watoday.com.au www.watoday.com.au

Hold onto your butts.


I don't think they'll use them when it's hot wearing it there.
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I grew up mostly in the UAE. It's wealthy enough, and supplies will be plentiful enough. Talent from all over the world works in the medical establishment in Dubai, Abu Dhabi, and the like. Oman might be alright too.

If it gets into the poorer and/or war-torn nations? That'll be a shit-show.
 
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