strunkenwhite
Well-known member
I'm pretty sure the CBO does routinely factor in the impact of tax cuts and raises; however, you may well disagree with their estimates. For example, they take the position that tax cuts do not generally result in such a high GDP rise as to increase tax revenue in a short term horizon to the level that would have been collected absent the tax cut—in other words, they do not pay for themselves and they increase the debt.And did the CBO factor how much less economic growth there would have been without the tax cuts into their calculations?
I kind of doubt it.2
From the above, it follows that cutting taxes is not a good way to decrease the debt. One effective way would be to decrease spending, but I do not see a public will to do this when faced with actual cuts instead of the vague concept of cutting. Another way is to raise taxes (which, the CBO believes, are not so deleterious as to entirely erase the prospective revenue gain), which coincidentally is a plausible way to increase public willingness to cut spending.
That is the rub, yes. But I think raising revenue is presently less unlikely than cutting spending, and simultaneously makes future spending cuts more likely.Complaining about the debt is pointless. Both increasing revenue and cutting spending are vastly too politically costly to actually do, especially at levels that would actually meaningfully impact the debt. Best to just hope that Modern Monetary Theory is correct and move on.