Election 2020 Election 2020: It's (almost) over! (maybe...possibly...ahh who are we kidding, it's 2020!)

Reader mode
DarthOne said:
Click to expand...

The "1 in one quadrillion!!!!" thing is astonishingly stupid. It's based on the idea that late arriving votes should have exactly the same proportional results as the early arriving votes, which is factually and obviously incorrect. Larger counties (ie cities) are much more Democratic leaning than the small rural counties, and since those larger counties take longer to count they come in later. On top of that, the mail-in votes are also counted later and are also much more likely to be weighted towards Democrats, since Democrats have been supportive of mail-in voting and Trump and other Republicans have been screaming about how terrible it is for months. Even Fox News recognized this before the election, it's blatantly obvious.
In Pennsylvania, which is viewed as a key win for either presidential candidate hoping to secure the White House, experts are cautioning residents to exercise patience as early tallies may be misleading.

Due to state laws governing mail-in and absentee vote counting, reported results could shift markedly between Election Day and the week’s end.

As previously reported by Fox News, each county is responsible for determining how it will tackle a massive volume of mail-in and absentee ballots – but the process cannot begin before 7 a.m. ET on Election Day.
...
Because a higher percentage of Pennsylvanians who requested mail-in ballots are Democrats, there is the potential for a “red mirage,” which describes a situation where Republican candidates, like President Trump, may appear to have an outsized amount of support as votes are reported on Election Day – followed by a shift toward Democratic candidates in the days that follow.
Click to expand...
 
Last edited:
Greengrass said:
The "1 in one quadrillion!!!!" thing is astonishingly stupid. It's based on the idea that late arriving votes should have exactly the same proportional results as the early arriving votes, which is factually and obviously incorrect. Larger counties (ie cities) are much more Democratic leaning than the small rural counties, and since those larger counties take longer to count they come in later. On top of that, the mail-in votes are also counted later and are also much more likely to be weighted towards Democrats, since Democrats have been supportive of mail-in voting and Trump and other Republicans have been screaming about how terrible it is for months. Even Fox News recognized this before the election, it's blatantly obvious.
Click to expand...
One, like I'll trust Fox as far as I can throw them. Two, that doesn't explain much about the sheer numbers being seen
 
DarthOne said:
One, like I'll trust Fox as far as I can throw them. Two, that doesn't explain much about the sheer numbers being seen
Click to expand...
The lawsuit's own fucking "expert" who made the one in a quadrillion claim even admits "well if late votes and mail-in votes skew Democratic then this makes perfect sense and isn't weird but I didn't look into this." Late votes are generally from cities and are thus basically always more Democratic-leaning than early votes, and mail-in votes were expected to lean Democratic due to Dems promoting th em and Trump bashing them (and about 1.8 million Dems asked for mail-in ballots in PA vs about 700k Republicans)

image.png


The only way you get "1 in QUADRILLION!!" is if you assume that early votes and late votes should have the same proportional results, which is an idiotic assumption to make because it goes against the evidence of basically every other election, where the vote counts from large cities generally come in later than rural areas, and the additional thing where Democrats were much more likely to vote by mail than Republicans and those votes are also counted later.
 
Last edited:
Archmagnus said:
I imagine the "1 in Quadrillion" bit in the suit is not meant for the court of law, but for the court of public opinion. Lawsuits often have these quotable bits here and there.
Click to expand...

The entire case is for the court of public opinion, because legally and factually it is garbage.
 
Duke Nukem said:
17 states have signed into the Texas lawsuit.


States on board:
Missouri, Alabama, Arkansas, Florida, Indiana, Kansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Montana, Nebraska, North Dakota, Oklahoma, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Utah, and West Virginia.
Click to expand...
GA is now surrounded by the states of the south in this lawsuit. Damn
 
Reader mode
You must log in or register to reply here.

Users who are viewing this thread

Total: 1 (members: 0, guests: 1)
Back
Top