Russian Invasion of Ukraine 2022

I mean shit, we are seeing Russia and Russians being treated far worse than the CCP and Uighyr situation, despite that being an actual genocide, for which China got the fucking Olympic games.
This is the biggest spin job ever by China. It's like a frog in a pot, I think.

Regardless, any updates on Magomed Tushaev? The Chechen General reported dead about 3 days ago? I didn't find anything saying he was still alive or confirming death, so I'm guessing dead (because otherwise RT would have had a quick interview online with him just to blow up the propaganda).

I saw a reported phone call with the the leader of the Chechen republic, but no face, so the only verification would be if you knew what he sounded like.
 
Russia either didn't win at COIN in Afghanistan, since the insurgency survived and toppled the government after the Russian's left, unless you define the goal of COIN to be merely suppressing the insurgents rather than eradicating them, in which case the US also won.

State building has nothing to do with military capabilities.

The battle of Panjshir Valley drove Massoud out of the Valley and Afghanistan till 93. Battle of Jalalabad broke the Insurgency till 92 with Hekmatyar and Sayyaf giving up the fight and coming to the table for terms. There was no functional guerrilla presence after Jalalabad. In fact if the Soviets had held together, there was a national reunification plan in place in which the Mujahedeen would have joined the Government, gotten paid, and the nation would have become a secular theocracy like the Arab and Israeli States are. Then the USSR broke apart, and all hell broke loose. The Mujahedeen flooded back in from Pakistan with wads of cash, and then started warring against each other while the Afghan state had no money and just went up in smoke. So the Soviet Puppet won the war, outlived the Soviet Union and collapsed internally because it had no cash reserves.

I would respond further, but the Admins are in a snippy mood and we must stick to the topic.



Well the witchcraft is being broken out.



Another rational analysis with an understanding of Russian Doctrine and a willingness to admit the unknowns.



Russian OMGs from the third echelon are now moving in on the Eastern side of the Dnieper to Kyiv.

Which means:



Which I fully agree with.



This is the biggest spin job ever by China. It's like a frog in a pot, I think.

Regardless, any updates on Magomed Tushaev? The Chechen General reported dead about 3 days ago? I didn't find anything saying he was still alive or confirming death, so I'm guessing dead (because otherwise RT would have had a quick interview online with him just to blow up the propaganda).

I saw a reported phone call with the the leader of the Chechen republic, but no face, so the only verification would be if you knew what he sounded like.

We'll know once the shooting is done. And in the larger picture, does he actually matter? Because the entire Russian way of war is to have a plan that doesn't rely on one guy being a genius.
 
Air raid sirens going off in Kiev again on the livestream.

 
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Well, that is interesting; guess those transport shootdown and issues are causing Russia to pull out their old biplane troop transports. I guess they do have STOL capability, which could be useful for getting troops in and out faster.

Thing probably also has a better chance of being able to safely fly below radar as well, compared to larger troop planes.
 
How's it bullshit, what parts are bullshit, and who exactly is CRP or BPS, and why are their conclusions more 'trustworthy'?
Coach RedPill is this internet personality that was on the ground in Kiev, I linked his videos.

BPS is Black Pigeon Speaks, who is another commentator.

Russians do not do the whole shock and awe, flatten the place with carpet bombing for 3 weeks before sending actual boots on the ground, their usual strategy is trapping the enemy in a cauldron, encirclement and squeezing the enemy with mass tank formations and artillery barrages.
They are doing that to the forces in eastern Ukraine, and the one thing they have limited the use of is large amounts of artillery and carpet bombings in order to keep civillian casulaties to a minimum.
This is the biggest spin job ever by China. It's like a frog in a pot, I think.

Regardless, any updates on Magomed Tushaev? The Chechen General reported dead about 3 days ago? I didn't find anything saying he was still alive or confirming death, so I'm guessing dead (because otherwise RT would have had a quick interview online with him just to blow up the propaganda).

I saw a reported phone call with the the leader of the Chechen republic, but no face, so the only verification would be if you knew what he sounded like.
He is alive, I posted a video of him a day or two ago.

 
Coach RedPill is this internet personality that was on the ground in Kiev, I linked his videos.

BPS is Black Pigeon Speaks, who is another commentator.
None of those vids have anything I've seen that actually counters Frietas's views, rather than just giving a current picture on the gorund (or what said personalities chose to represent it as) and Freitas actually has a background in studying counterinsurgency/guerilla warfare

Russians do not do the whole shock and awe, flatten the place with carpet bombing for 3 weeks before sending actual boots on the ground, their usual strategy is trapping the enemy in a cauldron, encirclement and squeezing the enemy with mass tank formations and artillery barrages.
They are doing that to the forces in eastern Ukraine, and the one thing they have limited the use of is large amounts of artillery and carpet bombings in order to keep civillian casulaties to a minimum.
Doing that to forces in Eastern Ukraine is one thing, as those forces are rather at the far end of Kiev's ability to resupply and reach; pretending Ukraine has no real ability to form a sustainable and persistent insurgency against Russian occupiers is a whole other thing entirely.

Particularly if Zelensky is still alive and still in Kiev, to give said insurgency a solid footing via the current gov and likely having large parts of Western Ukraine still under Kiev's control.

There is no way this plays out that does not see a massive, well supplied, well motivated Ukrainian insurgency/armed forces remnant making life hell for any Moscow puppet regime.

Edit: Also, something is on fire off the coast of Odessa.
 
Well, that is interesting; guess those transport shootdown and issues are causing Russia to pull out their old biplane troop transports. I guess they do have STOL capability, which could be useful for getting troops in and out faster.
Even if the imaginary losses were real, it still wouldn't put a significant enough dent in Russian transport aviation. It's more likely they will use them as bait drones.
 


Well, that is interesting; guess those transport shootdown and issues are causing Russia to pull out their old biplane troop transports. I guess they do have STOL capability, which could be useful for getting troops in and out faster.

Thing probably also has a better chance of being able to safely fly below radar as well, compared to larger troop planes.


Azeris used them as distraction drones as well to draw air defense attention and bait missiles and the like in the Azeri-Armenian War.
 
Even if the imaginary losses were real, it still wouldn't put a significant enough dent in Russian transport aviation. It's more likely they will use them as bait drones.
Azeris used them as distraction drones as well to draw air defense attention and bait missiles and the like in the Azeri-Armenian War.
Ah, ok; using them to either bait drones or SAMS would be a useful way to 'expend' those air frames.
 


Well, that is interesting; guess those transport shootdown and issues are causing Russia to pull out their old biplane troop transports. I guess they do have STOL capability, which could be useful for getting troops in and out faster.


See, this is the stupid shit that twitter likes spread around. Does anyone really think that the Russians are going to lose enough troop transports that they have to resort to biplanes--or are they more likely to be used as bait against UKA's SAM network?
 
We'll know once the shooting is done. And in the larger picture, does he actually matter? Because the entire Russian way of war is to have a plan that doesn't rely on one guy being a genius.
No, I just hate him in particular cause he was part of the crazy suppression of LGBTs in Chechenia (full put gays into camps, torture them, not the bullshit that's whined about in the west about not teaching gay sex to kids). I'd feel the same way if someone who lead the Azov battalion died also.

He is alive, I posted a video of him a day or two ago.
You posted the video of him talking with the leader, IIRC. Not a video of him (at least not one with a clear date).
Czechs Could Face 3 Years in Prison For Supporting Russia on Social Media

Slovakia: Public Support of Russia Could Land You in Prison for Up to 25 Years

Czechia and Slovakia to imprison anyone who supports Russia publicly.

USA and EU and big tech banning Russian news media.

Geez, at least here in the West we have freedom of sp...um,yeah, never mind.
Note that the USA isn't banning news media. Just big tech is deciding too. Which is, I think, an important distinction about why there is US freedom of speech, but it doesn't actually exist in the rest of the West. The rest just say 'freedom of speech' while really meaning "don't say stuff we don't like, and we'll all pretend."

Big tech is it's own problem slowly being solved by decentralization (regulation I don't see working).
 

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