Russian Invasion of Ukraine 2022

[Husky_Khan]

Ukrainian Drones allegedly struck several targets across Russia with possible strikes in St. Petersburg, Tula, Smolensk and maybe other locations. Reportedly a facility involved in the manufacturing of Pantsir Air Defense Systems was the target of the attack in Tula.





Russia using even older and larger missiles now with the reports of the debris documented after a missile interception of a P-5 Anti-Ship Missile Variant known as the SSC-1B Sepal according to NATO which was meant to be a modernized variant. Also known as the P-35, the first missiles of this family entered service in the 1960's and weigh over four and a half tons. Many were thought to of been retired from active service thirty years ago.

Russia Now Using Giant Soviet-Era Ground-Launched Anti-Ship Missile To Attack Ukraine

Use of the supersonic anti-ship missile — likely a 3M44 — for land attack highlights shortfalls in the Russian standoff missile inventory.

www.thedrive.com

Ukrainian Underground Command Posts.



Binkov Battlegrounds Video On Troop Numbers Throughout the War and Into the Near Future.



In case you are wondering, the Oryx List of Heavy Equipment Losses is Still Being Tabulated. Currently at 14,000 for the Russians and 5,000 for Ukraine.

 

[Jormungandr]

If Russia's using missiles from the 60's, they're getting desperate. Meanwhile, more and more modern hardware is entering Ukraine.

Combined with Ukraine actually launching mass drone strikes deep into Russia proper now, which indicates their air defence is completely shot? Yeah, it paints a grim picture for Russia.

 

[Buba]

The drones do seem to range further and further afield ...
The Pantsir maker is a smart target - even weaker AA as a result.

 

[Bacle]

Well, that's one way to create a reusable attack drone, though I question if the blade is going to be sharp enough for slashing attacks, instead of just stabbing.

 

[Bacle]

The future of warfare, western gamers on drones and gamers in tanks, ruining Russia's plans.

 

[Jormungandr]

Basement NEETs: "My time hath come!"

 

[Husky_Khan]

More Ukrainian Drone Strikes On Russian Oil Infrastructure, this time targeting Tuapse, an oil refinery facility located near the Black Sea.





A Thread on How the Ukrainian Drone Strikes Upon St. Petersburg Gas Facilities Was Helped in Part by the Repositioning of Pantsir Air Defense Systems to Protect One of Putin's Luxurious Residences.

Thread by @ChrisO_wiki on Thread Reader App

@ChrisO_wiki: 1/ An audacious Ukrainian UAV attack on gas facilities near St Petersburg was reportedly enabled by a chronic shortage of usable air defence systems in the area, as a result of them being redeployed to...…

threadreaderapp.com

Guide On Ukraine's Publicly Known Long Range Drones.



A Russian T-90S Meant for the Export Market Reportedly Eliminated by a Ukrainian Javelin ATGM.



Post on the Deceased Ukrainian Lieutenant Colonel Oleh Babii who reportedly led multiple missions deep into Russian territory, including one which infamous eliminated at least one Tu-22 Strategic Bomber and at least damaged a couple more.

[]

Twitter Thread by A Ukrainian Military Member on the Operations in Avdiivka as Well as the Longer Term Aftermath of the ATACMS strikes upon Russian Helicopter Bases.

Thread by @Tatarigami_UA on Thread Reader App

@Tatarigami_UA: Latest on Avdiivka and Helicopters Operations. 🧵Thread 1/ By late 2023, Frontelligence Insight noted a stabilized situation in Avdiivka. However, recent developments have worsened the situation for U...…

threadreaderapp.com

 

[Bacle]

 

[Marduk]

What bugs me is what the fuck is up with Russians being so stubbornly insistent on the idea of training troops right next to the warzone, in range of enemy rocket artillery FFS, as it's far from the first time. It's not like Russia of all places is lacking military facilities far away from the frontlines. Is it some kind of bureaucratic trick about money or paper numbers? Fear of troops scurrying away if they are left in a safe region? Extreme logistical stinginess as buses are apparently too expensive now? Or just plain laziness?

 

[Bacle]

What bugs me is what the fuck is up with Russians being so stubbornly insistent on the idea of training troops right next to the warzone, in range of enemy rocket artillery FFS, as it's far from the first time. It's not like Russia of all places is lacking military facilities far away from the frontlines. Is it some kind of bureaucratic trick about money or paper numbers? Fear of troops scurrying away if they are left in a safe region? Extreme logistical stinginess as buses are apparently too expensive now? Or just plain laziness?

From what I've heard, it's more likely that the rep of people going to/serving in Ukraine and who return to Russia is not great right now, and this helps keep the meat away from the urbanites during training in how to die the least painful death possible in the most useful way for the Tsar.

Also it may be that Russia thinks this is secure against their own domestic oppositions media snoops, who might let inconvient facts about the state/nature of the training being given to the mobiks be known.

 

[Husky_Khan]

Synopsis of Planned German Military Aid to Ukraine in 2024 (Four Tweets).

Includes the already delivered new Patriot System as well as IRIS-T Systems, more Gepard SPAAG's and munitions, six Sea King Helicopters, eighty Leopard 1A5 Main Battle Tanks, 450 other armored vehicles, at least 230,000 artillery shells, and more Marder IFV's, engineering vehicles, bridge layers, mine clearing vehicles, radar systems and drones etc.



Inferior Ukrainian HIMARS reportedly eliminates six BM-21 Grad MLRS Systems.



Ukrainian Khornates Showing Their Tribute to the Dark Gods.



Compilation of Total Heavy Equipment Losses during the Battle of Avdiivka since October.



Thread Casting Doubt on Whether the Il-76 Transport Plane Downed over Belgorod recently had POWs on board

Thread by @sumlenny on Thread Reader App

@sumlenny: A technical THREAD on today's destruction of a Russian #IL76 military cargo plane, why Russia pushes the topic of Ukrainian POWs, and how this story is an impotence symptom for our Western media. 1) There...…

threadreaderapp.com

 

[Zachowon]

Of course it didn't have POWs

 

[Jormungandr]

574 to Ukraine's 44? Fucking hell; Russia isn't just bleeding, it's hemorrhaging.

 

[Lord Sovereign]

574 to Ukraine's 44? Fucking hell; Russia isn't just bleeding, it's hemorrhaging.

At this rate I think all the Ukrainians have to do is stick it out. Russia’s stockpile is a Hell of a lot smaller than it was.

 

[Bacle]

A good reminder Ukraine is far from having this is the bag, particularly without sustained support, and that Russia can still 'win' if the West slacks aid 'because Russia is already defeated'.

Russia is not defeated and driven from Ukraine yet, and still has ways to win if the west keeps being dumb about aid.

Feeling like 'Ukraine has already won' is becoming counterproductive to actually getting Ukraine the supplies need to win.

 

[Marduk]

Greece approves transfer of outdated air defense missiles, anti-aircraft guns to aid Ukraine's army

The political and military leadership of Greece has approved the transfer of obsolete weapons systems to Ukraine, local outlet Kathimerini reported on Jan. 27.

news.yahoo.com

 

[Buba]

Russian AF now is in SO such trouble ...

 

[Jormungandr]

Bleeding Russia dry, giving Ukraine more weapons and materiel, and upgrading Greece in one move.

 

[Buba]

Bleeding Russia dry, giving Ukraine more weapons and materiel, and upgrading Greece in one move.

Biden genius! Geopolitical mastermind last seen in Otto Bismarck!

 

[Husky_Khan]

New Perun Video, this one has the topic of the Russian Winter Offensives but is a fair bit more broad then that. After summarizing the Winter Offensives up til now, he then breaks down the heavy equipment losses of both sides, the misreporting that occurs when documenting losses, and breaks it down and compares it by theater (Zaporizhzhia, Krynky and Avdiivka) over the previous months.

He then talks about the adaptions both sides have made in the previous months, and how most of the engagements have been smaller scale then earlier in the conflict. Then he discusses the Black Sea theater and how Russia is unwilling to enact a "Houthi" style blockade that shoots at everything, and doesn't have the potential capability of a traditional blockade then and so has fallen back on using naval mines. It also discusses Ukraine's systematic strikes on Russia's naval assets in Crimea.

Perun then moves onto the Air War, talking about new capabilities the Ukrainians might get, as well as the idea that Ukraine was using its long range air defense systems like the Patriot to ambush the Russian Air Force last month (which reportedly resulted in three Su-34's downed). He then covers the changes in Russia's ongoing missile campaign including the recent heavy missile attacks that took place and then the even more recent Ukrainian drone strikes on targets in Russia in turn.

One of the final topics he discusses is the overall manpower of both sides and the claims and estimates of casualties as well towards the ending part of the video.

Greece approves transfer of outdated air defense missiles, anti-aircraft guns to aid Ukraine's army

The political and military leadership of Greece has approved the transfer of obsolete weapons systems to Ukraine, local outlet Kathimerini reported on Jan. 27.

news.yahoo.com

There's possibilities that this transfer of Soviet Air Defense systems might include stuff from thirty party countries as well. It's still unverified AFAIK but Ecuador of all places could be transferring some of their Soviet equipment to the United States who will deliver it to Ukraine.



Back in August of 2022, Croatia donated a few old M-46 130mm early Soviet Era Howitzers to Ukraine... and the very next month, the Ukrainians launched their successful counteroffensive in the Kharkiv area.

Now Russian is apparently sending their own ancient 130mm M-46 Howitzers to the front!